Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets MLB Picks & Predictions 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Alex Young vs. Marcus Stroman

Nick Ahmed and the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-70, 2nd in NL West) head to Citi Field on Thursday where they'll take on the New York Mets (74-70, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this matchup at -125 while the Diamondbacks are priced at +115. The total has been set at 8.5.

The Diamondbacks have been good for bettors, having gone 75-70-0 SU. The Mets cover 51.4% of the time, going 74-70-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 67-70-8.

The Diamondbacks cover 51.3% of the time as the visitor, having gone 39-37-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 58.0% of the time at Citi Field, going 40-29-0 SU.

The Mets have been a good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 69-61-14.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/10/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/10/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 75-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Alex Young has a 7-3 record with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.05 this season. He has 58 strikeouts over his 66.2 innings pitched and he's given up 51 hits. He's allowed 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 494 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 503 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,253 base hits and 624 earned runs. They have allowed 186 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 461 batters and struck out 1,261. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .256, good for 12th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nick Ahmed is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 132 hits this season in 501 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .447 and an OPS+ of 96. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 155 hits and he has driven in 112 men in 570 at bats. His OPS+ is 115 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Diamondbacks have 1,292 hits, including 256 doubles and 208 home runs. Arizona has walked 475 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,205 times as a unit. They have left 996 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 5.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 740 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 74-70 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.42, Marcus Stroman has a 7-13 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 136 strikeouts over the 160.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 166 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 468 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 499 batters and walked 209 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,261 base knocks and 631 earned runs this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 455 hitters and struck out 1,344 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .438 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .366. He has 142 hits this year along with 109 RBI in 530 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .594 with an OPS+ of 152. Amed Rosario is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 158 hits in 549 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .426. The Mets as a unit have 1,296 base hits, including 250 doubles and 206 homers. New York has walked 454 times this year and they have struck out on 1,236 occasions. They have had 1,016 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They have scored 4.83 runs per game and totaled 696 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (+115)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink