Arizona Diamondbacks at New York Mets MLB Tips 9/9/2019

Monday, September 9, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs. Jacob deGrom

Citi Field is the venue where Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (72-69, 4th in NL East) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (75-67, 2nd in NL West) on Monday. The Mets open this matchup at -240 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at +220. The over/under opens at 7.5.

The Diamondbacks have been a pretty good bet for bettors, having gone 75-67-0 SU. The Mets cover 51.1% of the time, going 72-69-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been an inconsistent Under option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 67-67-8.

Arizona is covering 53.4% of the time as the road team, having gone 39-34-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 57.6% of the time at Citi Field, going 38-28-0 SU.

The Mets have been an inconsistent Under option for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 68-59-14.

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Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/6/2019 Robbie Ray SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/6/2019 Yoshihisa Hirano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
8/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/15/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 75-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Merrill Kelly has a 10-13 record with an earned run average of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 132 strikeouts over his 157.1 innings pitched and he's given up 164 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 487 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 496 hitters and walked 212 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,227 base hits and 614 earned runs. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 457 batters and struck out 1,237. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .258, good for 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .323. He has 152 hits this season in 559 at bats with 110 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 114. Nick Ahmed is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 78 men in 490 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .451. The Diamondbacks have 1,276 hits, including 254 doubles and 205 home runs. Arizona has walked 465 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,176 times as a unit. They have left 978 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 734 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 72-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.76, Jacob deGrom has a 8-8 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 220 strikeouts over the 176 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 142 hits. He's allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.14 and they have given up 458 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 489 batters and walked 205 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,235 base knocks and 618 earned runs this season. They have given up 178 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 447 hitters and struck out 1,311 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .320. He has 153 hits this year along with 59 RBI in 539 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .425 with an OPS+ of 98. Pete Alonso is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 139 hits in 517 at bats while driving in 107 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .592. The Mets as a unit have 1,268 base hits, including 243 doubles and 202 homers. New York has walked 443 times this year and they have struck out on 1,206 occasions. They have had 993 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They have scored 4.84 runs per game and totaled 683 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (-240)

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