Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 5/21/2019

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zack Greinke vs. Matt Strahm

David Peralta and the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-22, 2nd in NL West) head to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (23-24, 3rd in NL West). The Padres open this game at -103 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at -107. The O/U is set at 6.5.

The Diamondbacks have been a pretty good option for wagerers, having gone 25-22-0 SU. The Padres cover 48.9% of the time, going 23-24-0 straight up. The Diamondbacks have been a pretty good option for wagerers as a favorite, going 8-7-0 SU. San Diego is covering 48.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 12-13-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a less than ideal Under play for O/U bettors, having gone 24-21-2.

Arizona is covering 60.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 14-9-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres cover 44.0% of the time at Petco Park, going 11-14-0 SU.

The Padres have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 22-23-2.

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

05/15/19 P Zack Greinke Abdominal left last start, is "?%27 for next start
04/05/19 3B Jake Lamb Quad 10-day IL (04/04)
03/27/19 RF Steven Souza Jr. ACL 10-day IL (03/26); is out for season
03/25/19 P Silvino Bracho Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Taijuan Walker Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

05/11/19 C Francisco Mejia Knee 10-day IL (05/11)
05/06/19 P Trey Wingenter Shoulder 10-day IL (05/05)
05/04/19 P Brett Kennedy Shoulder 60-day IL (05/04)
04/30/19 SS Fernando Tatis Jr. Hamstring 10-day IL (04/29)
04/24/19 LF Jose Pirela Oblique 10-day IL (04/21)
04/09/19 P Aaron Loup Elbow 10-day IL (04/08)
04/09/19 CF Franchy Cordero Elbow 10-day IL (04/08)
04/03/19 P Jacob Nix Elbow 60-day IL (04/02)
03/25/19 P Dinelson Lamet Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Garrett Richards Elbow is out for season
03/25/19 P Jose Castillo Hip 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Miguel Diaz Knee 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 CF Travis Jankowski Wrist 60-day IL (03/27)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 25-22 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zack Greinke has a 6-1 record with an earned run average of 2.78 and a WHIP of 0.88 this season. He has 62 strikeouts over his 64.2 innings pitched and he's given up 49 hits. He's allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.61 and they have given up 167 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 171 hitters and walked 68 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 408 base hits and 200 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 427. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.13.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .256, good for 5th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. David Peralta is hitting .317 with an on-base percentage of .363. He has 59 hits this season in 186 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .538 and an OPS+ of 133. Adam Jones is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 49 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 177 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .497. The Diamondbacks have 428 hits, including 108 doubles and 67 home runs. Arizona has walked 150 times so far this season and they have struck out 421 times as a unit. They have left 330 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 241 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 23-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.07, Matt Strahm has a 1-3 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 44 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 44 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.32. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 194 batters and walked 58 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 388 base knocks and 186 earned runs this season. They have given up 59 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 126 hitters and struck out 414 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .227, good for 24th in the league. The Padres hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .286, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.4 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .339. He has 50 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 176 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .438 with an OPS+ of 112. Manny Machado is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 45 hits in 172 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .453. The Padres as a unit have 349 base hits, including 66 doubles and 67 homers. San Diego has walked 117 times this year and they have struck out on 460 occasions. They have had 257 men left on base and have an OPS of .692. They have scored 3.79 runs per game and totaled 178 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks -107

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