Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 9/20/2019

Friday, September 20, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Merrill Kelly vs. Eric Lauer

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres (69-83, 4th in NL West) play the Arizona Diamondbacks (78-75, 2nd in NL West) at Petco Park on Friday, September 20, 2019. The Diamondbacks open this game at +113 while the Padres are priced at -123. The total is set at 8.5.

The Diamondbacks have been a solid pick for baseball bettors, having gone 78-75-0 SU. The Padres are covering 45.4% of the time, going 69-83-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a solid Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 71-73-9.

The Diamondbacks are covering 50.0% of the time away from home, having gone 39-39-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

San Diego is covering 46.7% of the time at Petco Park, going 35-40-0 SU.

The Padres have been a solid Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 69-72-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/19/2019 Archie Bradley RP Back
9/18/2019 Nick Ahmed SS Finger
9/18/2019 Ketel Marte CF Back
9/18/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/11/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/18/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/18/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/18/2019 Chris Paddack SP Rest Out for the season
9/18/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/17/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/12/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 78-75 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Merrill Kelly has a 11-14 record with an earned run average of 4.49 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 142 strikeouts over his 170.1 innings pitched and he's given up 174 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 529 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 525 hitters and walked 222 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,325 base hits and 658 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season, ranking them 16th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 486 batters and struck out 1,317. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .254, good for 13th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 163 hits this season in 600 at bats with 115 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .527 and an OPS+ of 114. Adam Jones is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 121 hits and he has driven in 62 men in 462 at bats. His OPS+ is 87 while his slugging percentage is at .418. The Diamondbacks have 1,346 hits, including 269 doubles and 212 home runs. Arizona has walked 496 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,263 times as a unit. They have left 1,050 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.99 runs per contest and have scored a total of 764 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 69-83 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.60, Eric Lauer has a 8-9 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 121 strikeouts over the 139 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 153 hits. He's allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 565 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 634 batters and walked 191 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,324 base knocks and 686 earned runs this season. They have given up 204 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 426 hitters and struck out 1,377 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Padres hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .323. He has 161 hits this year along with 95 RBI in 585 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .434 with an OPS+ of 99. Manny Machado is hitting .253 this season and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 142 hits in 561 at bats while driving in 82 runs. He has an OPS+ of 107 and a slugging percentage of .456. The Padres as a unit have 1,218 base hits, including 212 doubles and 211 homers. San Diego has walked 475 times this year and they have struck out on 1,463 occasions. They have had 938 men left on base and have an OPS of .726. They have scored 4.33 runs per game and totaled 658 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (+113)

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