Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 9/21/2019

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zac Gallen vs. Cal Quantrill

Manny Machado and the San Diego Padres (69-84, 4th in NL West) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (78-75, 2nd in NL West) at Petco Park on Saturday, September 21, 2019. The Padres open this game at +115 while the Diamondbacks are priced at -125. The total is set at 8.5.

The Diamondbacks have been a decent choice for wagerers, having gone 78-75-0 SU. The Padres are covering 45.1% of the time, going 69-84-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a dicey Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 71-73-9.

The Diamondbacks are covering 50.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 39-39-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres are covering 46.7% of the time at Petco Park, going 35-40-0 SU.

The Padres have been a dicey Under bet for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 69-73-11.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

9/18/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/18/2019 Ketel Marte CF Back Probable for Sep 20
9/18/2019 Nick Ahmed SS Finger Probable for Sep 20
9/11/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

9/19/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/18/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/18/2019 Chris Paddack SP Rest Out for the season
9/18/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/17/2019 Adrian Morejon RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/14/2019 Robert Stock RP Biceps Out for the season
9/12/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/6/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Out for the season
9/3/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
9/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 21
9/1/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Out for the season
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 78-75 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zac Gallen has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 80 innings pitched and he's given up 62 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 529 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 525 hitters and walked 222 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,325 base hits and 658 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 486 batters and struck out 1,317. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .254, good for 13th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Adam Jones is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .312. He has 121 hits this season in 462 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 87. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .272 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 163 hits and he has driven in 115 men in 600 at bats. His OPS+ is 114 while his slugging percentage is at .527. The Diamondbacks have 1,346 hits, including 269 doubles and 212 home runs. Arizona has walked 496 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,263 times as a unit. They have left 1,050 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.99 runs per contest and have scored a total of 764 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 69-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.33, Cal Quantrill has a 6-8 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 83 strikeouts over the 98 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 104 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 566 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 639 batters and walked 192 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,331 base knocks and 690 earned runs this season. They have given up 205 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 429 hitters and struck out 1,389 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 28th in the league. The Padres hold a .415 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .332. He has 142 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 561 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .456 with an OPS+ of 107. Eric Hosmer is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 162 hits in 589 at bats while driving in 96 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .438. The Padres as a unit have 1,223 base hits, including 212 doubles and 212 homers. San Diego has walked 479 times this year and they have struck out on 1,479 occasions. They have had 946 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They have scored 4.31 runs per game and totaled 659 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (-125)

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