Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/27/2019

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Bryse Wilson vs. Tyler Chatwood

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (47-33, 1st in NL East) go to Wrigley Field on Thursday where they'll meet the Chicago Cubs (43-36, 1st in NL Central). The Cubs open this contest at -112 while the Braves are coming in at -108. The total is set at 9.5.

The Braves have been a very good choice for MLB wagerers, having gone 47-33-0 SU. The Cubs cover 54.4% of the time, going 43-36-0 straight up. The Cubs have been a very good choice for MLB wagerers as the favorite, going 35-17-0 SU. Atlanta has went 10-14-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 41.7% of the time.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a bad Under play for O/U bettors, having gone 44-33-3.

Atlanta is covering 59.0% of the time as a visitor, having gone 23-16-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

Chicago is covering 65.1% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 28-15-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a decent Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 40-37-2.

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Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/24/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/23/2019 Mike Soroka SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/22/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

6/25/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/24/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/24/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/18/2019 Kyle Hendricks SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/7/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 47-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Bryse Wilson has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 8.31 and a WHIP of 2.08 this season. He has 4 strikeouts over his 4.1 innings pitched and he's given up 5 hits. He's allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 275 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 321 hitters and walked 143 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 685 base hits and 340 earned runs. They have allowed 100 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 302 batters and struck out 690. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .311 with an on-base percentage of .398. He has 97 hits this season in 312 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .593 and an OPS+ of 150. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .370. He has totaled 92 hits and he has driven in 51 men in 318 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .506. The Braves have 732 hits, including 137 doubles and 124 home runs. Atlanta has walked 293 times so far this season and they have struck out 683 times as a unit. They have left 568 men on base and have a team OPS of .798. They score 5.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 433 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 43-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.69, Tyler Chatwood has a 3-1 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 30 strikeouts over the 39 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 36 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 223 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 261 batters and walked 129 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 648 base knocks and 304 earned runs this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 277 hitters and struck out 685 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .383. He has 75 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 275 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .531 with an OPS+ of 134. Kris Bryant is hitting .282 this season and he has an OBP of .392. He has collected 78 hits in 277 at bats while driving in 40 runs. He has an OPS+ of 135 and a slugging percentage of .527. The Cubs as a unit have 668 base hits, including 127 doubles and 122 homers. Chicago has walked 308 times this year and they have struck out on 713 occasions. They have had 536 men left on base and have an OPS of .781. They have scored 5.05 runs per game and totaled 399 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves -108

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