» MLB Picks » Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs MLB Tips 6/25/2019

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs MLB Tips 6/25/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 6/24/2019

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Adbert Alzolay

Anthony Rizzo and the Chicago Cubs (42-35, 1st in NL Central) play the Atlanta Braves (46-32, 1st in NL East) at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, June 25, 2019. The line on this contest has the Braves priced at -109 and the Cubs are at -101. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Braves have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 46-32-0 SU. The Cubs are covering 54.5% of the time, going 42-35-0 straight up. The Braves have been bad for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 36-19-0 SU. Chicago covers 30.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 8-18-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a terrible Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 44-31-3.

Atlanta covers 59.5% of the time as a visitor, having gone 22-15-0 straight up.

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs are covering 65.8% of the time at Wrigley Field, going 27-14-0 SU.

The Cubs have been a less than ideal Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 40-35-2.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/23/2019 Mike Soroka SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/22/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 26
6/19/2019 Sean Newcomb RP Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/14/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

6/21/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/18/2019 Kyle Hendricks SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Carl Edwards RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/7/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/2/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 8
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 46-32 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 8-3 record with an earned run average of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 76 strikeouts over his 82.2 innings pitched and he's given up 89 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.84 and they have given up 272 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 313 hitters and walked 143 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 671 base hits and 330 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 294 batters and struck out 672. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .266, good for 4th in the league. The Braves hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .316 with an on-base percentage of .404. He has 96 hits this season in 304 at bats with 61 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .605 and an OPS+ of 155. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 89 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 311 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .498. The Braves have 721 hits, including 136 doubles and 121 home runs. Atlanta has walked 288 times so far this season and they have struck out 662 times as a unit. They have left 558 men on base and have a team OPS of .804. They score 5.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 427 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 42-35 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.25, Adbert Alzolay has a 1-0 record and a 0.75 WHIP. He has 5 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 2 hits. He's allowing 2.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.43. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 218 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 251 batters and walked 128 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 637 base knocks and 300 earned runs this season. They have given up 91 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 272 hitters and struck out 664 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 16th in the league. The Cubs hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rizzo comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .387. He has 74 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 268 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .541 with an OPS+ of 137. Kris Bryant is hitting .284 this season and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 77 hits in 271 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .535. The Cubs as a unit have 654 base hits, including 123 doubles and 120 homers. Chicago has walked 300 times this year and they have struck out on 695 occasions. They have had 529 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 5.05 runs per game and totaled 389 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cubs -101

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