Atlanta Braves at Kansas City Royals MLB Tips 9/24/2019

Tuesday, September 24, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Danny Duffy

Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (96-61, 1st in NL East) head to Kauffman Stadium on Tuesday where they'll take on the Kansas City Royals (57-100, 4th in AL Central). The Braves open this matchup at -137 while the Royals are coming in at +127. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Braves have been an excellent pick for wagerers, having gone 96-61-0 SU. Kansas City is covering 36.3% of the time, going 57-100-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a dicey Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 73-76-8.

The Braves are covering 60.5% of the time as a visitor, having gone 46-30-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

Kansas City is covering 37.3% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 28-47-0 SU.

The Royals have been a dicey Under bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 80-71-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/22/2019 Freddie Freeman 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Out for the season
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/22/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Out for the season
9/22/2019 Nick Dini C Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/20/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/18/2019 Jake Junis SP Rest Out for the season
9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 96-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 10-10 record with an earned run average of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 161 strikeouts over his 172.1 innings pitched and he's given up 142 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 538 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 567 hitters and walked 241 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,373 base hits and 650 earned runs. They have allowed 196 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 538 batters and struck out 1,342. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .244 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 112 hits this season in 459 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .420 and an OPS+ of 88. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 175 hits and he has driven in 101 men in 625 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .518. The Braves have 1,383 hits, including 269 doubles and 243 home runs. Atlanta has walked 600 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,414 times as a unit. They have left 1,093 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 831 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 57-100 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.30, Danny Duffy has a 6-6 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 110 strikeouts over the 125.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 120 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 578 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 527 batters and walked 264 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,474 base knocks and 795 earned runs this season. They have given up 213 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 569 hitters and struck out 1,196 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .302 with an OBP of .349. He has 200 hits this year along with 74 RBI in 663 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .462 with an OPS+ of 111. Hunter Dozier is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 142 hits in 505 at bats while driving in 83 runs. He has an OPS+ of 127 and a slugging percentage of .527. The Royals as a unit have 1,314 base hits, including 268 doubles and 159 homers. Kansas City has walked 446 times this year and they have struck out on 1,356 occasions. They have had 1,023 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.27 runs per game and totaled 670 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals (+127)

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