Atlanta Braves at Kansas City Royals MLB Tips 9/25/2019

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Soroka vs. Mike Montgomery

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (96-61, 1st in NL East) are headed to Kauffman Stadium on Wednesday where they'll take on the Kansas City Royals (57-100, 4th in AL Central). The Royals open this matchup at +185 while the Braves are priced at -200. The O/U opens at 9.

The Braves have been a great choice for baseball bettors, having gone 96-61-0 SU. The Royals cover 36.3% of the time, going 57-100-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a hot and cold Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 73-76-8.

Atlanta is covering 60.5% of the time away from home, having gone 46-30-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals cover 37.3% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 28-47-0 SU.

The Royals have been a hot and cold Under option for O/U wagerers, having gone 80-71-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/23/2019 Freddie Freeman 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Out for the season
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/23/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/22/2019 Nick Dini C Shoulder Probable for Sep 24
9/22/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Out for the season
9/20/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/18/2019 Jake Junis SP Rest Out for the season
9/12/2019 Kelvin Gutierrez 3B Toe Out for the season
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 96-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Soroka has a 13-4 record with an earned run average of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 135 strikeouts over his 169.2 innings pitched and he's given up 146 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.26 and they have given up 538 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 567 hitters and walked 241 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,373 base hits and 650 earned runs. They have allowed 196 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 538 batters and struck out 1,342. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 175 hits this season in 625 at bats with 101 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 123. Dansby Swanson is hitting .244 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .322. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 459 at bats. His OPS+ is 88 while his slugging percentage is at .420. The Braves have 1,383 hits, including 269 doubles and 243 home runs. Atlanta has walked 600 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,414 times as a unit. They have left 1,093 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 831 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 57-100 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.00, Mike Montgomery has a 3-9 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 65 strikeouts over the 86.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 108 hits. He's allowing 11.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 578 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 527 batters and walked 264 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,474 base knocks and 795 earned runs this season. They have given up 213 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 569 hitters and struck out 1,196 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.90.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 20th in the league. The Royals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Hunter Dozier comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .352. He has 142 hits this year along with 83 RBI in 505 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .527 with an OPS+ of 127. Whit Merrifield is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 200 hits in 663 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Royals as a unit have 1,314 base hits, including 268 doubles and 159 homers. Kansas City has walked 446 times this year and they have struck out on 1,356 occasions. They have had 1,023 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.27 runs per game and totaled 670 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals (+185)

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