Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins MLB Betting Tips 5/4/2019

Saturday, May 4, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Soroka vs. Trevor Richards

The Atlanta Braves visit Marlins Park on Saturday, May 4, 2019 to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Mike Soroka for the Braves and Trevor Richards for the Marlins.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at -167 and Miami at +157. The Braves have a 16-14-1 over/under record and a 14-17-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 12-18-0 against the run line and have a 12-17-1 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 16-14-1 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 14-17-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 12-17-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 12-18-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

05/02/19 3B Josh Donaldson Calf is questionable Friday vs Miami Marlins
04/30/19 P Chad Sobotka Abdominal 10-day IL (04/29)
04/29/19 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 60-day IL (04/28); is out for season
04/28/19 P Jesse Biddle Thigh 10-day IL (04/27)
04/15/19 P Jonny Venters Calf 10-day IL (04/15)
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/16/19 P Austin Brice Stomach 10-day IL (04/16)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 15-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Soroka has a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 1.62 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. He has 21 strikeouts over his 16.2 innings pitched and he's given up 13 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.04. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 122 hitters and walked 69 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 260 base hits and 141 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 132 batters and struck out 282. They have walked 4.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 4.67.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .266, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .308 with an on-base percentage of .426. He has 36 hits this season in 117 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 148. Ozzie Albies is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .348. He has totaled 38 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 130 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .508. The Braves have 280 hits, including 56 doubles and 41 home runs. Atlanta has walked 129 times so far this season and they have struck out 262 times as a unit. They have left 242 men on base and have a team OPS of .801. They score 5 runs per contest and have scored a total of 155 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 9-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.64, Trevor Richards has a 0-4 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 31 strikeouts over the 33 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 26 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 92 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 118 batters and walked 47 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 248 base knocks and 137 earned runs this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 106 hitters and struck out 274 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .228, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .334 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.5 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .239 with an OBP of .294. He has 28 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 117 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .325 with an OPS+ of 73. Brian Anderson is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 28 hits in 111 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 91 and a slugging percentage of .342. The Marlins as a unit have 225 base hits, including 36 doubles and 23 homers. Miami has walked 73 times this year and they have struck out on 270 occasions. They have had 191 men left on base and have an OPS of .622. They have scored 2.87 runs per game and totaled 86 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves -167

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