Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Point Spread Picks 7/16/2019

Tuesday, July 16, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Bryse Wilson vs. Brandon Woodruff

Miller Park is the venue where Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (48-46, 2nd in NL Central) will take on the Atlanta Braves (57-37, 1st in NL East) on Tuesday. The Brewers open this game at -175 while the Braves are coming in at +165. The total has been set at 9.5.

The Braves have been great for bettors, having gone 56-37-0 SU. The Brewers cover 51.6% of the time, going 48-45-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a pretty good play for baseball wagerers as the favorite, going 29-25-0 SU. The Braves cover 44.8% of the time as an underdog, having gone 13-16-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 48-40-5.

The Braves cover 60.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 28-18-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 59.6% of the time at Miller Park, going 28-19-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a hot and cold Over pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 41-48-4.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/8/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/5/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/12/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 57-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Bryse Wilson has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 6.14 and a WHIP of 1.57 this season. He has 15 strikeouts over his 14.2 innings pitched and he's given up 16 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.26. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 366 hitters and walked 162 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.12. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 815 base hits and 387 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 345 batters and struck out 808. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .373. He has 109 hits this season in 375 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .512 and an OPS+ of 124. Freddie Freeman is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .387. He has totaled 111 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 368 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .576. The Braves have 854 hits, including 166 doubles and 149 home runs. Atlanta has walked 337 times so far this season and they have struck out 816 times as a unit. They have left 652 men on base and have a team OPS of .798. They score 5.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 507 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 48-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.67, Brandon Woodruff has a 10-3 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 126 strikeouts over the 108 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 98 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.63 and they have given up 341 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 422 batters and walked 161 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 838 base knocks and 441 earned runs this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 324 hitters and struck out 878 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.38.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .330 with an OBP of .430. He has 105 hits this year along with 68 RBI in 318 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .708 with an OPS+ of 187. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .252 this season and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 90 hits in 357 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 73 and a slugging percentage of .356. The Brewers as a unit have 801 base hits, including 158 doubles and 157 homers. Milwaukee has walked 353 times this year and they have struck out on 899 occasions. They have had 669 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 447 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves +165

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