Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Point Spread Picks 7/17/2019

Wednesday, July 17, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Chase Anderson

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (58-37, 1st in NL East) head to Miller Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Milwaukee Brewers (48-47, 3rd in NL Central). The Braves open this game at +110 while the Brewers are priced at -120. The O/U has been set at 10.

The Braves have been strong for wagerers, having gone 58-37-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 50.5% of the time, going 48-47-0 straight up. The Brewers have been pretty good for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 29-26-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 44.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 13-16-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a hot and cold Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 48-42-5.

The Braves are covering 62.5% of the time away from home, having gone 30-18-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

Milwaukee is covering 57.1% of the time at Miller Park, going 28-21-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a pretty good Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 42-49-4.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/16/2019 Max Fried SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/15/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 18
7/15/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/5/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/15/2019 Corbin Burnes RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 58-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 17 strikeouts over his 32 innings pitched and he's given up 32 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 320 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 369 hitters and walked 162 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.1. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 822 base hits and 389 earned runs. They have allowed 117 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 347 batters and struck out 816. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .262, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 112 hits this season in 371 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .582 and an OPS+ of 143. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 110 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 379 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .509. The Braves have 863 hits, including 167 doubles and 150 home runs. Atlanta has walked 340 times so far this season and they have struck out 823 times as a unit. They have left 659 men on base and have a team OPS of .797. They score 5.38 runs per contest and have scored a total of 511 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 48-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.27, Chase Anderson has a 4-2 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 71.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 67 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 426 batters and walked 163 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 847 base knocks and 445 earned runs this season. They have given up 130 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 327 hitters and struck out 885 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .446 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .311. He has 90 hits this year along with 31 RBI in 360 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .353 with an OPS+ of 72. Christian Yelich is hitting .332 this season and he has an OBP of .431. He has collected 107 hits in 322 at bats while driving in 68 runs. He has an OPS+ of 186 and a slugging percentage of .705. The Brewers as a unit have 808 base hits, including 159 doubles and 158 homers. Milwaukee has walked 355 times this year and they have struck out on 907 occasions. They have had 676 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 449 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves +110

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