Atlanta Braves at Minnesota Twins MLB Point Spread Picks 8/7/2019

Wednesday, August 7, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Martin Perez

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (66-48, 1st in NL East) go to Target Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (70-42, 1st in AL Central).

The Braves have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 66-48-0 SU. Minnesota covers 62.5% of the time, going 70-42-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a pretty good Over play for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 56-53-5.

The Braves are covering 59.7% of the time away from home, having gone 34-23-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 62.5% of the time at Target Field, going 35-21-0 SU.

The Twins have been a pretty good Over play for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 57-50-5.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

8/5/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Quadriceps Probable for Aug 6
8/4/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

8/6/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/4/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/3/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/3/2019 Michael Pineda SP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/24/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 13

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 66-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 12-4 record with an earned run average of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 112 strikeouts over his 115 innings pitched and he's given up 124 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 383 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 422 hitters and walked 199 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 994 base hits and 489 earned runs. They have allowed 145 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 422 batters and struck out 966. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 134 hits this season in 461 at bats with 70 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .505 and an OPS+ of 123. Freddie Freeman is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .396. He has totaled 132 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 436 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .562. The Braves have 1,034 hits, including 200 doubles and 177 home runs. Atlanta has walked 415 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,009 times as a unit. They have left 810 men on base and have a team OPS of .794. They score 5.29 runs per contest and have scored a total of 603 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 70-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.58, Martin Perez has a 8-4 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 100 strikeouts over the 116 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 116 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.42 and they have given up 378 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 395 batters and walked 137 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 970 base knocks and 451 earned runs this season. They have given up 139 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 313 hitters and struck out 985 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .500 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Jonathan Schoop comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .301. He has 84 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 331 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .456 with an OPS+ of 97. Jorge Polanco is hitting .297 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 132 hits in 445 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .501. The Twins as a unit have 1,069 base hits, including 227 doubles and 219 homers. Minnesota has walked 353 times this year and they have struck out on 901 occasions. They have had 760 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They have scored 5.78 runs per game and totaled 647 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves

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