Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 8/25/2019
Sunday, August 25, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Steven Matz
Citi Field is the site where Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (67-61, 3rd in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (78-52, 1st in NL East) on Sunday. The Mets open this matchup at -112 while the Braves are priced at +102. The O/U opens at 8.5.
The Braves have been an excellent option for baseball wagerers, having gone 78-52-0 SU. The Mets cover 52.3% of the time, going 67-61-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a pretty good Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 63-60-7.
The Braves cover 60.9% of the time away from home, having gone 39-25-0 straight up.
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
The Mets cover 62.7% of the time at Citi Field, going 37-22-0 SU.
The Mets have been a pretty good Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 62-53-13.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
8/22/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
8/21/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/21/2019 Brian McCann C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/20/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/14/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
Key New York Mets Injuries
8/23/2019 Tomas Nido C Head Probable for Aug 24
8/20/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/14/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
8/14/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/13/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/5/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 78-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 60 strikeouts over his 71.2 innings pitched and he's given up 72 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 460 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 481 hitters and walked 214 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,166 base hits and 558 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 469 batters and struck out 1,124. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.49.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .261, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .295 with an on-base percentage of .379. He has 155 hits this season in 525 at bats with 88 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .537 and an OPS+ of 130. Freddie Freeman is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .394. He has totaled 151 hits and he has driven in 104 men in 499 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .571. The Braves have 1,174 hits, including 222 doubles and 205 home runs. Atlanta has walked 474 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,160 times as a unit. They have left 913 men on base and have a team OPS of .793. They score 5.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 693 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 67-61 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.18, Steven Matz has a 8-7 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 116 strikeouts over the 122.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 127 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 417 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 439 batters and walked 191 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,111 base knocks and 551 earned runs this season. They have given up 159 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 411 hitters and struck out 1,188 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .266 with an OBP of .369. He has 123 hits this year along with 97 RBI in 463 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .590 with an OPS+ of 152. Amed Rosario is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .326. He has collected 140 hits in 486 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .444. The Mets as a unit have 1,146 base hits, including 220 doubles and 183 homers. New York has walked 403 times this year and they have struck out on 1,114 occasions. They have had 901 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 4.83 runs per game and totaled 618 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves (+102)
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