Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 9/27/2019

Friday, September 27, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Marcus Stroman

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (83-75, 3rd in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (97-62, 1st in NL East) at Citi Field on Friday, September 27, 2019. The line on this matchup has the Braves priced at +110 and the Mets are at -120. The O/U is set at 8.5.

The Braves have been strong for baseball wagerers, having gone 97-62-0 SU. The Mets cover 52.5% of the time, going 83-75-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a decent Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 75-76-8.

The Braves cover 60.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 47-31-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 58.4% of the time at Citi Field, going 45-32-0 SU.

The Mets have been a decent Over play for O/U bettors, having gone 75-67-16.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/25/2019 Ronald Acuna CF Groin Out for the season
9/24/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2019 Freddie Freeman 1B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Out for the season
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/26/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/25/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 97-62 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 8-5 record with an earned run average of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 100 strikeouts over his 113 innings pitched and he's given up 106 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 548 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 583 hitters and walked 242 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,393 base hits and 661 earned runs. They have allowed 196 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 540 batters and struck out 1,362. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 175 hits this season in 626 at bats with 101 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 123. Dansby Swanson is hitting .249 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 117 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 469 at bats. His OPS+ is 90 while his slugging percentage is at .424. The Braves have 1,408 hits, including 276 doubles and 245 home runs. Atlanta has walked 610 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,431 times as a unit. They have left 1,112 men on base and have a team OPS of .791. They score 5.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 847 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 83-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.23, Marcus Stroman has a 9-13 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 151 strikeouts over the 178.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 177 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 505 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 543 batters and walked 226 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,375 base knocks and 676 earned runs this season. They have given up 197 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 491 hitters and struck out 1,473 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Mets hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .360. He has 152 hits this year along with 118 RBI in 582 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .582 with an OPS+ of 148. Amed Rosario is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 173 hits in 603 at bats while driving in 71 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .434. The Mets as a unit have 1,412 base hits, including 275 doubles and 235 homers. New York has walked 504 times this year and they have struck out on 1,341 occasions. They have had 1,105 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 4.91 runs per game and totaled 775 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves (+110)

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