Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Steven Matz

Dansby Swanson and the Atlanta Braves (97-62, 1st in NL East) are headed to Citi Field on Saturday where they'll meet the New York Mets (83-76, 3rd in NL East). The odds on this matchup have the Braves coming in at +110 and the Mets are at -120. The O/U opens at 8.5.

The Braves have been great for MLB wagerers, having gone 97-62-0 SU. The Mets are covering 52.2% of the time, going 83-76-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 75-76-8.

The Braves are covering 60.3% of the time on the road, having gone 47-31-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 57.7% of the time at Citi Field, going 45-33-0 SU.

The Mets have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 75-68-16.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/25/2019 Ronald Acuna CF Groin Out for the season
9/24/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/23/2019 Freddie Freeman 1B Elbow Probable for Sep 27
9/18/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Out for the season
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/26/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hand Probable for Sep 27
9/26/2019 Justin Wilson RP Rest Out for the season
9/26/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Wrist Out for the season
9/26/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 97-62 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 8-5 record with an earned run average of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 100 strikeouts over his 113 innings pitched and he's given up 106 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 548 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 583 hitters and walked 242 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,393 base hits and 661 earned runs. They have allowed 196 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 540 batters and struck out 1,362. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Dansby Swanson is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .325. He has 117 hits this season in 469 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .424 and an OPS+ of 90. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .365. He has totaled 175 hits and he has driven in 101 men in 626 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .518. The Braves have 1,408 hits, including 276 doubles and 245 home runs. Atlanta has walked 610 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,431 times as a unit. They have left 1,112 men on base and have a team OPS of .791. They score 5.33 runs per contest and have scored a total of 847 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 83-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.37, Steven Matz has a 10-10 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 146 strikeouts over the 154.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 161 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 544 batters and walked 226 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,381 base knocks and 680 earned runs this season. They have given up 200 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 491 hitters and struck out 1,484 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .323. He has 173 hits this year along with 71 RBI in 604 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .434 with an OPS+ of 102. Pete Alonso is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 152 hits in 586 at bats while driving in 118 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .578. The Mets as a unit have 1,417 base hits, including 276 doubles and 235 homers. New York has walked 508 times this year and they have struck out on 1,353 occasions. They have had 1,111 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 777 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves (+110)

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