Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Mike Soroka vs. Noah Syndergaard

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (97-63, 1st in NL East) go to Citi Field on Sunday where they'll take on the New York Mets (84-76, 3rd in NL East). The Mets open this game at +110 while the Braves are priced at -120. The O/U has been set at 8.

The Braves have been a strong play for MLB wagerers, having gone 97-63-0 SU. New York is covering 52.5% of the time, going 84-76-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a good Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 75-77-8.

Atlanta is covering 59.5% of the time away from home, having gone 47-32-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 58.2% of the time at Citi Field, going 46-33-0 SU.

The Mets have been a good Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 75-69-16.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/27/2019 Billy Hamilton CF Thumb Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/25/2019 Ronald Acuna CF Groin Out for the season
9/18/2019 Johan Camargo SS Lower Leg Out for the season
9/17/2019 Charlie Culberson LF Face Out for the season
9/12/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/27/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 29
9/27/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Hand Probable for Sep 28
9/26/2019 Jeff McNeil LF Wrist Out for the season
9/26/2019 Justin Wilson RP Rest Out for the season
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 97-63 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Soroka has a 13-4 record with an earned run average of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 135 strikeouts over his 169.2 innings pitched and he's given up 146 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 550 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 586 hitters and walked 242 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,402 base hits and 665 earned runs. They have allowed 198 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 544 batters and struck out 1,369. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 175 hits this season in 626 at bats with 101 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 123. Dansby Swanson is hitting .253 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 120 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 474 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .426. The Braves have 1,417 hits, including 276 doubles and 245 home runs. Atlanta has walked 611 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,442 times as a unit. They have left 1,122 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 849 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 84-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.30, Noah Syndergaard has a 10-8 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 193 strikeouts over the 190.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 189 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 509 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 547 batters and walked 226 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,390 base knocks and 682 earned runs this season. They have given up 200 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 492 hitters and struck out 1,495 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .260 with an OBP of .359. He has 153 hits this year along with 119 RBI in 589 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .582 with an OPS+ of 148. Amed Rosario is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 174 hits in 608 at bats while driving in 72 runs. He has an OPS+ of 102 and a slugging percentage of .433. The Mets as a unit have 1,426 base hits, including 279 doubles and 237 homers. New York has walked 512 times this year and they have struck out on 1,360 occasions. They have had 1,119 men left on base and have an OPS of .770. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 781 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves (-120)

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