Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Tips 6/29/2019
Saturday, June 29, 2019
Citi Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Steven Matz
Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (48-34, 1st in NL East) are headed to Citi Field on Saturday where they'll take on the New York Mets (37-45, 4th in NL East). The Mets open this matchup at -109 while the Braves are priced at -101. The O/U is set at 9.
The Braves have been very good for MLB bettors, having gone 48-34-0 SU. New York covers 45.1% of the time, going 37-45-0 straight up. The Mets have been a solid play for bettors as a favorite, going 22-19-0 SU. The Braves are covering 42.3% of the time as the underdog, having gone 11-15-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a terrible Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 45-34-3.
Atlanta covers 58.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 24-17-0 straight up.
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
New York covers 58.8% of the time at Citi Field, going 20-14-0 SU.
The Mets have been a terrible Under bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 43-30-9.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
6/26/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/24/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/23/2019 Mike Soroka SP Forearm Probable for Jun 28
6/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
Key New York Mets Injuries
6/26/2019 Jeurys Familia RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/24/2019 Noah Syndergaard SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/22/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/21/2019 Luis Avilan RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/19/2019 Justin Wilson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/18/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 48-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 81 strikeouts over his 91.1 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 281 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 144 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 705 base hits and 347 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 307 batters and struck out 704. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.
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Hitting Statistics
As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .312 with an on-base percentage of .396. He has 100 hits this season in 321 at bats with 63 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .598 and an OPS+ of 151. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 93 hits and he has driven in 51 men in 324 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Braves have 747 hits, including 141 doubles and 128 home runs. Atlanta has walked 300 times so far this season and they have struck out 703 times as a unit. They have left 576 men on base and have a team OPS of .798. They score 5.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 445 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 37-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.85, Steven Matz has a 5-6 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 78 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 85 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.65 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 275 batters and walked 132 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 729 base knocks and 390 earned runs this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 277 hitters and struck out 747 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .254, good for 15th in the league. The Mets hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Jeff McNeil comes into this matchup batting .346 with an OBP of .411. He has 88 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 254 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .508 with an OPS+ of 149. Pete Alonso is hitting .277 this season and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 82 hits in 296 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .625. The Mets as a unit have 719 base hits, including 140 doubles and 118 homers. New York has walked 272 times this year and they have struck out on 734 occasions. They have had 570 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 390 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -109
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