Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Tips 7/27/2019
Saturday, July 27, 2019
Citizens Bank Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Zach Eflin
Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (54-48, 3rd in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (60-43, 1st in NL East) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, July 27, 2019. The Phillies open this contest at +109 while the Braves are priced at -119. The over/under is set at 9.5.
The Braves have been very good for bettors, having gone 60-43-0 SU. The Phillies cover 52.9% of the time, going 54-48-0 straight up. The Braves have been a very good pick for MLB bettors as favorites, going 46-24-0 SU. The Phillies cover 40.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 15-22-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a dicey Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 50-48-5.
The Braves cover 60.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 30-20-0 straight up.
Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
Philadelphia covers 58.8% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 30-21-0 SU.
The Phillies have been a solid Under choice for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 46-53-3.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/24/2019 Max Fried SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/24/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Heel Probable for Jul 26
7/24/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
7/24/2019 Jean Segura SS Heel Probable for Jul 26
7/24/2019 Brad Miller 3B Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/20/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/20/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/17/2019 Jay Bruce LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/16/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 60-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 10-4 record with an earned run average of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 102 strikeouts over his 103.2 innings pitched and he's given up 113 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 347 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 393 hitters and walked 179 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 893 base hits and 433 earned runs. They have allowed 127 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 378 batters and struck out 884. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.48.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .261, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 120 hits this season in 411 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .504 and an OPS+ of 123. Freddie Freeman is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 122 hits and he has driven in 79 men in 403 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .563. The Braves have 931 hits, including 179 doubles and 156 home runs. Atlanta has walked 370 times so far this season and they have struck out 904 times as a unit. They have left 729 men on base and have a team OPS of .790. They score 5.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 538 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Philadelphia has a 54-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.25, Zach Eflin has a 7-10 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 91 strikeouts over the 110 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 118 hits. He's allowing 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.74 and they have given up 358 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 352 batters and walked 148 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 926 base knocks and 466 earned runs this season. They have given up 169 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 345 hitters and struck out 868 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 5.01.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Phillies hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .400. He has 94 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 358 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .522 with an OPS+ of 137. Bryce Harper is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 96 hits in 375 at bats while driving in 70 runs. He has an OPS+ of 116 and a slugging percentage of .472. The Phillies as a unit have 845 base hits, including 192 doubles and 128 homers. Philadelphia has walked 370 times this year and they have struck out on 895 occasions. They have had 718 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They have scored 4.75 runs per game and totaled 485 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves -119
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