Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Tips 7/28/2019
Sunday, July 28, 2019
Citizens Bank Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Aaron Nola
Citizens Bank Park is the site where Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies (54-49, 3rd in NL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (61-43, 1st in NL East) on Sunday. The odds on this contest have the Braves coming in at +119 and the Phillies are at -129. The over/under has been set at 9.
The Braves have been excellent for baseball bettors, having gone 61-43-0 SU. The Phillies cover 52.4% of the time, going 54-49-0 straight up. The Phillies have been a great bet for baseball bettors as favorites, going 39-26-0 SU. Atlanta has gone 14-19-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 42.4% of the time.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a good Over play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 51-48-5.
Atlanta covers 60.8% of the time on the road, having gone 31-20-0 straight up.
Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies cover 57.7% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 30-22-0 SU.
The Phillies have been a decent Under play for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 47-53-3.
Related: ACC Preview - SEC Preview - Sports Handicapping - CFB Futures - Ken Thomson / Tony George break down the Season
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/26/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Probable for Jul 27
7/26/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Heel Probable for Jul 27
7/24/2019 Max Fried SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/24/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
7/26/2019 Jay Bruce LF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/26/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/24/2019 Brad Miller 3B Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
7/20/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/20/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/12/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
6/30/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
6/22/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 61-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 5.71 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 72 strikeouts over his 69.1 innings pitched and he's given up 75 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 351 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 396 hitters and walked 179 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.2. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 905 base hits and 435 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 379 batters and struck out 892. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.
Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games
As a team Atlanta is hitting .261, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .453 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .304 with an on-base percentage of .390. He has 123 hits this season in 405 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .563 and an OPS+ of 140. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .294 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .379. He has totaled 122 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 415 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .504. The Braves have 938 hits, including 180 doubles and 157 home runs. Atlanta has walked 376 times so far this season and they have struck out 910 times as a unit. They have left 733 men on base and have a team OPS of .789. They score 5.26 runs per contest and have scored a total of 547 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Philadelphia has a 54-49 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.64, Aaron Nola has a 8-2 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 145 strikeouts over the 128.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 114 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.74 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 354 batters and walked 151 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 933 base knocks and 472 earned runs this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year, which ranks 3rd in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 351 hitters and struck out 874 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 5.02.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 25th in the league. The Phillies hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .256 with an OBP of .367. He has 97 hits this year along with 71 RBI in 379 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .470 with an OPS+ of 115. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .263 this season and he has an OBP of .401. He has collected 95 hits in 361 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .521. The Phillies as a unit have 857 base hits, including 193 doubles and 129 homers. Philadelphia has walked 371 times this year and they have struck out on 903 occasions. They have had 727 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They have scored 4.73 runs per game and totaled 487 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves +119
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