Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Point Spread Picks 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Zach Eflin

Freddie Freeman and the Atlanta Braves (90-55, 1st in NL East) travel to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (74-69, 3rd in NL East). The moneyline on this contest has the Braves priced at -135 and the Phillies are at +125. The total is set at 10.

The Braves have been excellent for baseball bettors, having gone 90-55-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 51.7% of the time, going 74-69-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 68-69-8.

Atlanta is covering 61.4% of the time as a visitor, having gone 43-27-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 56.2% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 41-32-0 SU.

The Phillies have been an inconsistent Under choice for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 66-73-4.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/9/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/24/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/9/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/3/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 90-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.32 this season. He has 73 strikeouts over his 90.2 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 525 hitters and walked 229 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,285 base hits and 610 earned runs. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 506 batters and struck out 1,249. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Braves hold a .458 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .301 with an on-base percentage of .393. He has 167 hits this season in 554 at bats with 116 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .572 and an OPS+ of 141. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .364. He has totaled 163 hits and he has driven in 94 men in 582 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .515. The Braves have 1,289 hits, including 251 doubles and 229 home runs. Atlanta has walked 549 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,300 times as a unit. They have left 1,010 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 778 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 74-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.31, Zach Eflin has a 8-11 record and a 1.34 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 140 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 150 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.66 and they have given up 516 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 492 batters and walked 205 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,300 base knocks and 657 earned runs this season. They have given up 230 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 478 hitters and struck out 1,204 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .370. He has 128 hits this year along with 101 RBI in 507 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .493 with an OPS+ of 120. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .236 this season and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 119 hits in 505 at bats while driving in 80 runs. He has an OPS+ of 117 and a slugging percentage of .475. The Phillies as a unit have 1,222 base hits, including 279 doubles and 186 homers. Philadelphia has walked 510 times this year and they have struck out on 1,273 occasions. They have had 1,009 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 699 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves (-135)

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