Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tips 3/30/2019

Saturday, March 30, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Bryse Wilson vs. Nick Pivetta

The Atlanta Braves visit Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, March 30, 2019 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Bryse Wilson for the Braves and Nick Pivetta for the Phillies.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +112 and Philadelphia at -136. The Braves had a 79-81-6 over/under record and a 83-83-0 run line mark last season. The Phillies were 75-87-0 against the run line and had a 74-81-7 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves were 79-81-6 against the over/under last year

The Atlanta Braves were 83-83-0 against the run line last season

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies were 74-81-7 against the over/under last year

The Philadelphia Phillies were 75-87-0 against the run line last season

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

03/28/19 P A.J. Minter Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

03/25/19 CF Roman Quinn Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tommy Hunter Forearm 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves had a 90-72 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Bryse Wilson had a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 6.43 and a WHIP of 2.00. He had 6 strikeouts over his 7 innings pitched and he gave up 8 hits. He allowed 10.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.02. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.15 and they gave up 505 base hits on the year. Teams hit .238 against the bullpen while striking out 556 hitters and walking 273 batters. As a team, Atlanta allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They were 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Braves pitchers collectively gave up 1,236 base hits and 607 earned runs last year. They allowed 153 home runs last season, ranking them 28th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff walked 635 batters and struck out 1,423. They walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit was 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta hit .257, good for 5th in the league. The Braves held a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which was good for 11th in baseball. They ranked 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Ozzie Albies hit .261 with an on-base percentage of .305 last year. He had 167 hits last season in 639 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .452 and an OPS+ of 102. Nick Markakis hit .297 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .366. He totaled 185 hits and he drove in 93 men in 623 at bats. His OPS+ was 117 while his slugging percentage was at .440. The Braves had 1,433 hits last season, including 314 doubles and 175 home runs. Atlanta walked 511 times last year and they struck out 1,290 times as a unit. They left 1,143 men on base and had a team OPS of .742. They scored 4.69 runs per contest and scored a total of 759 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia had a 80-82 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 4.77, Nick Pivetta had a 7-14 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He had 188 strikeouts over the 164 innings he pitched. He also gave up 163 hits. He allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 3.8. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.19 and they gave up 545 base hits on the year. Teams hit .246 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers struck out 581 batters and walked 220 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They were 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Phillies pitchers as a team surrendered 1,366 base knocks and 665 earned runs last season. They gave up 171 home runs last year, which ranked 24th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff walked 500 hitters and struck out 1,465 batters. They gave up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they struck out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.29 while their FIP as a staff was 3.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .234, good for 30th in the league. The Phillies held a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which was good for 19th in baseball. They ranked 30th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup after batting .249 with an OBP of .393 last season. He had 137 hits last year along with 100 RBI in 550 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .496 with an OPS+ of 133. Rhys Hoskins hit .246 last season and he had an OBP of .354. He collected 137 hits in 558 at bats while driving in 96 runs. He had an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .496. The Phillies as a unit had 1,271 base hits last season, including 241 doubles and 186 homers. Philadelphia walked 582 times last year and they struck out on 1,520 occasions. They left 1,120 men on base and had an OPS of .707. They scored 4.18 runs per game and totaled 677 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -136

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