Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Tips 6/5/2019

Wednesday, June 5, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Joe Musgrove

Melky Cabrera and the Pittsburgh Pirates (28-30, 4th in NL Central) play the Atlanta Braves (32-27, 2nd in NL East) at PNC Park on Wednesday, June 5, 2019. The Braves open this matchup at -121 while the Pirates are priced at +111. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Braves have been a pretty good pick for baseball bettors, having gone 32-27-0 SU. Pittsburgh covers 48.3% of the time, going 28-30-0 straight up. The Braves have been awful for Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as a favorite, going 23-16-0 SU. Pittsburgh covers 44.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 17-21-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a less than ideal Under choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 30-26-3.

Atlanta covers 57.1% of the time away from home, having gone 16-12-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pirates cover 39.3% of the time at PNC Park, going 11-17-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a strong Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 34-23-1.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/1/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/28/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 5
5/28/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

6/2/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
6/1/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
5/29/2019 Trevor Williams SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/27/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/26/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/25/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Jung Ho Kang 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/22/2019 Nik Turley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/13/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
5/11/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
4/25/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 32-27 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 5.56 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 57 strikeouts over his 55 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 206 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 231 hitters and walked 111 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 491 base hits and 251 earned runs. They have allowed 77 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 230 batters and struck out 517. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Braves hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Ozzie Albies is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .320. He has 63 hits this season in 237 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .414 and an OPS+ of 90. Freddie Freeman is hitting .305 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .391. He has totaled 69 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 226 at bats. His OPS+ is 145 while his slugging percentage is at .562. The Braves have 520 hits, including 91 doubles and 80 home runs. Atlanta has walked 209 times so far this season and they have struck out 504 times as a unit. They have left 411 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 291 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 28-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.57, Joe Musgrove has a 3-6 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 65 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 62 hits. He's allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.59. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 248 batters and walked 105 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 518 base knocks and 287 earned runs this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 207 hitters and struck out 518 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.35.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 12th in the league. The Pirates hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Melky Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .370. He has 54 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 163 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 118. Josh Bell is hitting .332 this season and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 75 hits in 226 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 180 and a slugging percentage of .681. The Pirates as a unit have 519 base hits, including 103 doubles and 57 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 156 times this year and they have struck out on 482 occasions. They have had 417 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They have scored 4.22 runs per game and totaled 245 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves -121

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