Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres MLB Tips 7/12/2019
Friday, July 12, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Dinelson Lamet
Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (54-37, 1st in NL East) travel to Petco Park on Friday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (45-45, 3rd in NL West). The Braves open this matchup at -136 while the Padres are priced at +112. The over/under is set at 8.5.
The Braves have been a great choice for MLB bettors, having gone 54-37-0 SU. The Padres cover 50.0% of the time, going 45-45-0 straight up. The Braves have been terrible for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 42-21-0 SU. San Diego has went 22-22-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 50.0% of the time.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 47-39-5.
The Braves cover 59.1% of the time as the away team, having gone 26-18-0 straight up.
Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres cover 48.9% of the time at Petco Park, going 23-24-0 SU.
The Padres have been a good Over play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 43-39-8.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/8/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/5/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 Anthony Swarzak RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/9/2019 Travis Jankowski CF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/3/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/2/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
6/28/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 54-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.28 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 25 innings pitched and he's given up 26 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 307 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 358 hitters and walked 152 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 791 base hits and 379 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 329 batters and struck out 780. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 105 hits this season in 360 at bats with 53 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .506 and an OPS+ of 124. Freddie Freeman is hitting .309 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .394. He has totaled 110 hits and he has driven in 68 men in 356 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .584. The Braves have 828 hits, including 164 doubles and 143 home runs. Atlanta has walked 327 times so far this season and they have struck out 789 times as a unit. They have left 633 men on base and have a team OPS of .800. They score 5.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 491 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
San Diego has a 45-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.40, Dinelson Lamet has a 0-1 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 5 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 3 hits. He's allowing 5.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 327 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 364 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 783 base knocks and 404 earned runs this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 230 hitters and struck out 788 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 24th in the league. The Padres hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .266 with an OBP of .339. He has 88 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 331 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .489 with an OPS+ of 119. Eric Hosmer is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .336. He has collected 100 hits in 349 at bats while driving in 62 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .447. The Padres as a unit have 729 base hits, including 128 doubles and 139 homers. San Diego has walked 253 times this year and they have struck out on 873 occasions. They have had 530 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They have scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 402 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Padres +112
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