Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals MLB Point Spread Picks 7/31/2019
Wednesday, July 31, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Mike Soroka vs. Anibal Sanchez
Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (62-45, 1st in NL East) are headed to Nationals Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the Washington Nationals (57-49, 2nd in NL East). The line on this game has the Braves priced at -123 and the Nationals are at +113. The O/U has been set at 10.
The Braves have been a great choice for MLB wagerers, having gone 62-45-0 SU. The Nationals cover 53.8% of the time, going 57-49-0 straight up. The Braves have been a great choice for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 48-24-0 SU. The Nationals cover 41.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 14-20-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a hot and cold Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 53-49-5.
The Braves cover 59.3% of the time as the road team, having gone 32-22-0 straight up.
Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals cover 57.4% of the time at Nationals Park, going 31-23-0 SU.
The Nationals have been a solid Under option for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 48-52-6.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/29/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/27/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
7/29/2019 Matt Adams 1B Foot Probable for Jul 30
7/29/2019 Max Scherzer SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/27/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/25/2019 Austin Voth SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
7/23/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/22/2019 Ryan Zimmerman 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 62-45 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Soroka has a 10-2 record with an earned run average of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 91 strikeouts over his 107 innings pitched and he's given up 96 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 409 hitters and walked 188 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 936 base hits and 456 earned runs. They have allowed 135 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 396 batters and struck out 923. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .292 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 125 hits this season in 428 at bats with 64 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .502 and an OPS+ of 123. Freddie Freeman is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .398. He has totaled 127 hits and he has driven in 81 men in 413 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .564. The Braves have 969 hits, including 184 doubles and 164 home runs. Atlanta has walked 387 times so far this season and they have struck out 948 times as a unit. They have left 753 men on base and have a team OPS of .791. They score 5.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 569 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Washington has a 57-49 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.63, Anibal Sanchez has a 6-6 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 87 strikeouts over the 101.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 93 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.04 and they have given up 344 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 324 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 887 base knocks and 446 earned runs this season. They have given up 119 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 331 hitters and struck out 1,007 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 3.95.Related: ACC Preview - SEC Preview - Sports Handicapping - CFB Futures - Ken Thomson / Tony George break down the Season
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Nationals hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Adam Eaton comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .363. He has 110 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 391 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .402 with an OPS+ of 96. Anthony Rendon is hitting .318 this season and he has an OBP of .404. He has collected 110 hits in 346 at bats while driving in 80 runs. He has an OPS+ of 156 and a slugging percentage of .616. The Nationals as a unit have 920 base hits, including 182 doubles and 141 homers. Washington has walked 367 times this year and they have struck out on 881 occasions. They have had 738 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They have scored 4.98 runs per game and totaled 528 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Nationals MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -123
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