Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 4/12/2019

Friday, April 12, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: David Hess vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

The Baltimore Orioles visit Fenway Park on Friday, April 12, 2019 to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are David Hess for the Orioles and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +244 and Boston at -267. The Orioles have a 9-3-0 over/under record and a 5-7-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 1-11-0 against the run line and have a 8-3-1 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 9-3-0 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 5-7-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 8-3-1 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 1-11-0 against the run line

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
04/09/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 C Austin Wynns Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 5-7 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Hess has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.83 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 13.1 innings pitched and he's given up 6 hits. He's allowed 4.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.88 and they have given up 73 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .313 against the bullpen and they've struck out 48 hitters and walked 29 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 6.45. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 126 base hits and 76 earned runs. They have allowed 32 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 52 batters and struck out 84. They have walked 4.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.68 and their FIP as a unit is 7.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .237, good for 18th in the league. The Orioles hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .362 with an on-base percentage of .404. He has 17 hits this season in 47 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .787 and an OPS+ of 221. Jesus Sucre is hitting .233 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .281. He has totaled 7 hits and he has driven in 3 men in 30 at bats. His OPS+ is 54 while his slugging percentage is at .267. The Orioles have 96 hits, including 15 doubles and 12 home runs. Baltimore has walked 32 times so far this season and they have struck out 101 times as a unit. They have left 72 men on base and have a team OPS of .682. They score 4.42 runs per contest and have scored a total of 53 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 3-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 12.38, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 0-2 record and a 2.75 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 8 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 16 hits. He's allowing 18 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 41 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 53 batters and walked 15 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 6.35. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 114 base knocks and 71 earned runs this season. They have given up 23 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 41 hitters and struck out 98 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.54 while their FIP as a staff is 5.53.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 19th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .392. He has 15 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 46 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .543 with an OPS+ of 155. Mitch Moreland is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 9 hits in 35 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 176 and a slugging percentage of .686. The Red Sox as a unit have 98 base hits, including 20 doubles and 13 homers. Boston has walked 39 times this year and they have struck out on 94 occasions. They have had 83 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They have scored 4.25 runs per game and totaled 51 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +244

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