Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 8/16/2019
Friday, August 16, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Brooks vs. Rick Porcello
Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox (64-59, 3rd in AL East) host the Baltimore Orioles (39-82, 5th in AL East) at Fenway Park on Friday, August 16, 2019.
The Orioles have been bad for bettors, having gone 39-82-0 SU. The Red Sox are covering 52.0% of the time, going 64-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a great Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 62-49-10.
The Orioles are covering 35.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 21-39-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox are covering 50.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 30-30-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been a great Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 73-47-3.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/13/2019 DJ Stewart RF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/12/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/14/2019 Brock Holt 2B Personal Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/12/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/8/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 21
8/6/2019 Steven Wright RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 39-82 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Brooks has a 2-6 record with an earned run average of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 59 strikeouts over his 72.1 innings pitched and he's given up 81 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.26 and they have given up 547 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the bullpen and they've struck out 464 hitters and walked 230 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.91. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,169 base hits and 704 earned runs. They have allowed 250 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 433 batters and struck out 929. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.89.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .412 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .338. He has 127 hits this season in 472 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .439 and an OPS+ of 105. Trey Mancini is hitting .274 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 124 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 452 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Orioles have 1,022 hits, including 189 doubles and 154 home runs. Baltimore has walked 334 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,107 times as a unit. They have left 789 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 531 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 64-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.67, Rick Porcello has a 10-9 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 107 strikeouts over the 133.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 154 hits. He's allowing 10.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 432 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 558 batters and walked 218 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.78. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,097 base knocks and 594 earned runs this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 435 hitters and struck out 1,237 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.32.
As a team, they are batting .275, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .327 with an OBP of .375. He has 160 hits this year along with 94 RBI in 490 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .580 with an OPS+ of 141. Mookie Betts is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 135 hits in 481 at bats while driving in 63 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .491. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,220 base hits, including 271 doubles and 193 homers. Boston has walked 456 times this year and they have struck out on 1,049 occasions. They have had 909 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They have scored 5.72 runs per game and totaled 709 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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