Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dillon Tate vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (53-107, 5th in AL East) are headed to Fenway Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (83-77, 3rd in AL East). The Orioles open this game at +137 while the Red Sox are priced at -157. The over/under opens at 10.5.

The Orioles have been inconsistent for baseball bettors, having gone 53-107-0 SU. Boston is covering 51.9% of the time, going 83-77-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 79-70-11.

The Orioles are covering 35.4% of the time away from home, having gone 28-51-0 straight up.

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox are covering 48.0% of the time at Fenway Park, going 37-40-0 SU.

The Red Sox have been a rough Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 89-66-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/27/2019 Mason Williams CF Knee Out for the season
9/27/2019 Anthony Santander RF Undisclosed Probable for Sep 28
9/19/2019 Hunter Harvey RP Rest Out for the season
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/27/2019 Christian Vazquez C Hamstring Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Darwinzon Hernandez RP Rest Out for the season
9/19/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/18/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Out for the season
9/18/2019 David Price SP Wrist Out for the season
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 53-107 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dillon Tate has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 6.20 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 19 strikeouts over his 20.1 innings pitched and he's given up 17 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.81 and they have given up 684 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 622 hitters and walked 290 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.61. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,523 base hits and 889 earned runs. They have allowed 303 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 553 batters and struck out 1,234. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.58.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .246, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .290 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 172 hits this season in 593 at bats with 94 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 135. Jonathan Villar is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 173 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 634 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .453. The Orioles have 1,361 hits, including 248 doubles and 209 home runs. Baltimore has walked 456 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,412 times as a unit. They have left 1,052 men on base and have a team OPS of .724. They score 4.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 716 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 83-77 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.80, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 19-6 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 205 strikeouts over the 196.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 191 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 590 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 764 batters and walked 321 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,405 base knocks and 756 earned runs this season. They have given up 211 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 599 hitters and struck out 1,610 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .269, good for 3rd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. J.D. Martinez comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .383. He has 173 hits this year along with 104 RBI in 567 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .556 with an OPS+ of 140. Rafael Devers is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 197 hits in 637 at bats while driving in 115 runs. He has an OPS+ of 133 and a slugging percentage of .556. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,533 base hits, including 344 doubles and 243 homers. Boston has walked 582 times this year and they have struck out on 1,368 occasions. They have had 1,152 men left on base and have an OPS of .806. They have scored 5.58 runs per game and totaled 892 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+137)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Tony Sink