Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians MLB Picks & Predictions 5/16/2019
Thursday, May 16, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Trevor Bauer
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (14-26, 5th in AL East) head to Progressive Field on Thursday where they'll take on the Cleveland Indians (22-19, 2nd in AL Central). The moneyline on this game has the Orioles priced at +268 and the Indians are at -300. The O/U has been set at 8.5.
The Orioles have been painful for MLB bettors, having gone 17-23-0 vs. the ML. Cleveland is covering the ML 48.8% of the time, going 20-21-0. The Indians have been painful for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 14-20-0 vs. the moneyline. Baltimore has went 17-22-0 as the underdog, so they are covering the moneyline 43.6% of the time.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a decent Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 20-18-2.
Baltimore is covering the ML 47.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 9-10-0.
Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians are covering the moneyline 44.4% of the time at Progressive Field, going 8-10-0.
The Indians have been a rough Over choice for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 16-24-1.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
05/14/19 CF Tyler Naquin Calf 10-day IL (05/14)
05/01/19 P Corey Kluber Forearm 10-day IL (05/03)
04/09/19 P Mike Clevinger Back 10-day IL (04/09)
03/27/19 CF Bradley Zimmer Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Danny Salazar Shoulder 60-day IL (03/24)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 14-26 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 8.23 and a WHIP of 1.83 this season. He has 15 strikeouts over his 27.1 innings pitched and he's given up 38 hits. He's allowed 12.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 7.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.86 and they have given up 177 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 161 hitters and walked 78 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.51. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 370 base hits and 217 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 143 batters and struck out 307. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.85.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .237, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .261 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 43 hits this season in 165 at bats with 16 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .406 and an OPS+ of 95. Trey Mancini is hitting .318 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 47 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 148 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .547. The Orioles have 325 hits, including 59 doubles and 46 home runs. Baltimore has walked 108 times so far this season and they have struck out 353 times as a unit. They have left 268 men on base and have a team OPS of .690. They score 3.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 159 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cleveland has a 22-19 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.02, Trevor Bauer has a 4-2 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 59.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 39 hits. He's allowing 5.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.56. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 121 batters and walked 41 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 308 base knocks and 141 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 121 hitters and struck out 386 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.73.
As a team, they are batting .221, good for 27th in the league. The Indians hold a .355 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.1 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .371. He has 39 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 144 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .417 with an OPS+ of 109. Jake Bauers is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 31 hits in 126 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .381. The Indians as a unit have 292 base hits, including 53 doubles and 41 homers. Cleveland has walked 146 times this year and they have struck out on 381 occasions. They have had 265 men left on base and have an OPS of .657. They have scored 3.66 runs per game and totaled 150 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Indians MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +268
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