Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians MLB Picks & Predictions 5/17/2019

Friday, May 17, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Jefry Rodriguez

Jake Bauers and the Cleveland Indians (22-19, 2nd in AL Central) play the Baltimore Orioles (14-28, 5th in AL East) at Progressive Field on Friday, May 17, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Orioles priced at +153 and the Indians are at -163. The total opens at 9.

The Orioles have been a bad option for MLB wagerers, having gone 14-28-0 SU. The Indians cover 53.7% of the time, going 22-19-0 straight up. The Indians have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 18-16-0 SU. Baltimore has gone 13-28-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 31.7% of the time.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a less than ideal Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 20-20-2.

The Orioles cover 38.1% of the time as the visitor, having gone 8-13-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians cover 61.1% of the time at Progressive Field, going 11-7-0 SU.

The Indians have been a terrible Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 16-24-1.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

05/14/19 CF Tyler Naquin Calf 10-day IL (05/14)
05/01/19 P Corey Kluber Forearm 10-day IL (05/03)
04/09/19 P Mike Clevinger Back 10-day IL (04/09)
03/27/19 CF Bradley Zimmer Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Danny Salazar Shoulder 60-day IL (03/24)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 14-28 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 5.31 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 40 strikeouts over his 40.2 innings pitched and he's given up 37 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.13. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.77 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 164 hitters and walked 78 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.44. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 384 base hits and 224 earned runs. They have allowed 89 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 146 batters and struck out 323. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.43 and their FIP as a unit is 5.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .236, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .308 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 48 hits this season in 156 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .545 and an OPS+ of 141. Jonathan Villar is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 45 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 173 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .399. The Orioles have 339 hits, including 62 doubles and 48 home runs. Baltimore has walked 109 times so far this season and they have struck out 375 times as a unit. They have left 277 men on base and have a team OPS of .685. They score 3.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 163 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 22-19 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.92, Jefry Rodriguez has a 1-2 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 24.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 110 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 121 batters and walked 41 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 308 base knocks and 141 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 121 hitters and struck out 386 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.20 while their FIP as a staff is 3.73.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .221, good for 27th in the league. The Indians hold a .355 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.1 hits per contest. Jake Bauers comes into this matchup batting .246 with an OBP of .333. He has 31 hits this year along with 14 RBI in 126 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .381 with an OPS+ of 89. Carlos Santana is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 39 hits in 144 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .417. The Indians as a unit have 292 base hits, including 53 doubles and 41 homers. Cleveland has walked 146 times this year and they have struck out on 381 occasions. They have had 265 men left on base and have an OPS of .657. They have scored 3.66 runs per game and totaled 150 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +153

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