Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers MLB Picks & Predictions 9/14/2019

Saturday, September 14, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gabriel Ynoa vs. Daniel Norris

Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (47-99, 5th in AL East) head to Comerica Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Detroit Tigers (43-102, 5th in AL Central). The Tigers open this game at -134 while the Orioles are priced at +124. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Orioles have been good for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 47-99-0 SU. Detroit covers 29.7% of the time, going 43-102-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a less than ideal Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 72-63-11.

The Orioles are covering 33.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 24-47-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Tigers are covering 26.8% of the time at Comerica Park, going 19-52-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a less than ideal Under choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 67-68-10.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/11/2019 Hunter Harvey RP Biceps Probable for Sep 13
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/10/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Out for the season
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 47-99 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gabriel Ynoa has a 1-8 record with an earned run average of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 60 strikeouts over his 96.1 innings pitched and he's given up 109 hits. He's allowed 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.93 and they have given up 629 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen and they've struck out 550 hitters and walked 261 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.72. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,392 base hits and 820 earned runs. They have allowed 280 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 503 batters and struck out 1,115. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.63.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .349. He has 148 hits this season in 537 at bats with 77 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .510 and an OPS+ of 124. Jonathan Villar is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .341. He has totaled 156 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 567 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .453. The Orioles have 1,225 hits, including 224 doubles and 186 home runs. Baltimore has walked 401 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,295 times as a unit. They have left 939 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 637 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 43-102 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.72, Daniel Norris has a 3-12 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 116 strikeouts over the 135.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 148 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.83. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 578 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 535 batters and walked 261 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.27. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,382 base knocks and 755 earned runs this season. They have given up 231 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 490 hitters and struck out 1,222 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Brandon Dixon comes into this matchup batting .251 with an OBP of .295. He has 89 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 355 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .451 with an OPS+ of 92. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 133 hits in 457 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 99 and a slugging percentage of .403. The Tigers as a unit have 1,203 base hits, including 268 doubles and 136 homers. Detroit has walked 357 times this year and they have struck out on 1,459 occasions. They have had 966 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They have scored 3.7 runs per game and totaled 537 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+124)

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