Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers MLB Picks & Predictions 9/16/2019

Monday, September 16, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: John Means vs. Tyler Alexander

Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (48-100, 5th in AL East) travel to Comerica Park on Monday where they'll meet the Detroit Tigers (44-103, 5th in AL Central). The moneyline on this game has the Orioles priced at -131 and the Tigers are at +121. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Orioles have been hot and cold for bettors, having gone 48-100-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 29.9% of the time, going 44-103-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 73-64-11.

The Orioles are covering 34.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 25-48-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit covers 27.4% of the time at Comerica Park, going 20-53-0 SU.

The Tigers have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 68-69-10.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

9/14/2019 Niko Goodrum SS Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/14/2019 Miguel Cabrera DH Knee Probable for Sep 15
9/11/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/1/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Wrist Out for the season
8/14/2019 Blaine Hardy RP Elbow Out for the season
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 48-100 overall record this season. Starting pitcher John Means has a 10-10 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 109 strikeouts over his 137.1 innings pitched and he's given up 120 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.35. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.91 and they have given up 638 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 564 hitters and walked 269 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.7. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,415 base hits and 830 earned runs. They have allowed 283 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 515 batters and struck out 1,130. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.64.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .246, good for 22nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .350. He has 152 hits this season in 547 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .519 and an OPS+ of 127. Jonathan Villar is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 159 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 576 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .453. The Orioles have 1,245 hits, including 227 doubles and 189 home runs. Baltimore has walked 409 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,312 times as a unit. They have left 951 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 647 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 44-103 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.40, Tyler Alexander has a 0-3 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 36 strikeouts over the 38.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 47 hits. He's allowing 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 589 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 546 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.25. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,402 base knocks and 765 earned runs this season. They have given up 234 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 498 hitters and struck out 1,239 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Tigers hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Brandon Dixon comes into this matchup batting .247 with an OBP of .293. He has 89 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 360 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .444 with an OPS+ of 90. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 133 hits in 463 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 97 and a slugging percentage of .397. The Tigers as a unit have 1,226 base hits, including 272 doubles and 139 homers. Detroit has walked 369 times this year and they have struck out on 1,474 occasions. They have had 986 men left on base and have an OPS of .687. They have scored 3.72 runs per game and totaled 547 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (-131)

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