Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros MLB Picks & Predictions 6/7/2019

Friday, June 7, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gabriel Ynoa vs. Gerrit Cole

Minute Maid Park is the site where Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (42-21, 1st in AL West) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (19-42, 5th in AL East) on Friday. The Astros open this contest at -340 while the Orioles are coming in at +300. The total opens at 8.5.

The Orioles have been a lousy bet for wagerers, having gone 19-42-0 SU. Houston is covering 66.7% of the time, going 42-21-0 straight up. The Astros have been an excellent option for baseball bettors as favorites, going 41-20-0 SU. The Orioles cover 31.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 18-40-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 30-28-3.

The Orioles cover 36.7% of the time on the road, having gone 11-19-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston is covering 73.3% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 22-8-0 SU.

The Astros have been a very good Under bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 26-35-2.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

6/5/2019 Andrew Cashner SP Leg Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
6/5/2019 Pedro Severino C Head Probable for Jun 6
6/5/2019 Jonathan Villar 2B Thumb Probable for Jun 6
6/5/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Probable for Jun 6
6/2/2019 Alex Cobb SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/27/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 11

Key Houston Astros Injuries

6/5/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/3/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/29/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/27/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
3/28/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 19-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gabriel Ynoa has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.54 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 26.2 innings pitched and he's given up 32 hits. He's allowed 10.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.86 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 235 hitters and walked 116 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.71. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 572 base hits and 343 earned runs. They have allowed 123 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 224 batters and struck out 472. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.77.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .239, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .353. He has 68 hits this season in 228 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .539 and an OPS+ of 137. Jonathan Villar is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 62 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 241 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .411. The Orioles have 499 hits, including 93 doubles and 78 home runs. Baltimore has walked 159 times so far this season and they have struck out 540 times as a unit. They have left 395 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4.11 runs per contest and have scored a total of 251 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 42-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.94, Gerrit Cole has a 5-5 record and a 1.04 WHIP. He has 116 strikeouts over the 77.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 154 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 217 batters and walked 68 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 433 base knocks and 220 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 170 hitters and struck out 617 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.08 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .332 with an OBP of .391. He has 77 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 232 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .534 with an OPS+ of 146. Alex Bregman is hitting .275 this season and he has an OBP of .392. He has collected 60 hits in 218 at bats while driving in 43 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .555. The Astros as a unit have 575 base hits, including 118 doubles and 100 homers. Houston has walked 230 times this year and they have struck out on 423 occasions. They have had 436 men left on base and have an OPS of .822. They have scored 5.16 runs per game and totaled 325 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +300

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