Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros MLB Picks & Predictions 6/8/2019

Saturday, June 8, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Andrew Cashner vs. Framber Valdez

Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (19-43, 5th in AL East) go to Minute Maid Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Houston Astros (43-21, 1st in AL West). The line on this contest has the Orioles coming in at +220 and the Astros are at -240. The total is set at 9.

The Orioles have been excellent for oddsmakers, having gone 19-43-0 SU. The Astros cover 67.2% of the time, going 43-21-0 straight up. The Astros have been great for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 42-20-0 SU. Baltimore has gone 18-41-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 30.5% of the time.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a pretty good Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 30-29-3.

The Orioles cover 35.5% of the time away from home, having gone 11-20-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Astros cover 73.3% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 22-8-0 SU.

The Astros have been a terrible Over bet for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 27-35-2.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

6/6/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/6/2019 Dwight Smith LF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 Jonathan Villar 2B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
6/6/2019 Pedro Severino C Head Probable for Jun 7
6/5/2019 Andrew Cashner SP Leg Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
6/2/2019 Alex Cobb SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/27/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 11

Key Houston Astros Injuries

6/6/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/5/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/3/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/29/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
3/28/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 19-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Andrew Cashner has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 5.04 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 48 strikeouts over his 64.1 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He's allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.82 and they have given up 255 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the bullpen and they've struck out 238 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.68. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 580 base hits and 346 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 226 batters and struck out 477. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.74.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .239, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .257 with an on-base percentage of .316. He has 62 hits this season in 241 at bats with 25 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .411 and an OPS+ of 95. Trey Mancini is hitting .306 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 71 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 232 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .556. The Orioles have 507 hits, including 95 doubles and 79 home runs. Baltimore has walked 161 times so far this season and they have struck out 551 times as a unit. They have left 401 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 254 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 43-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.12, Framber Valdez has a 2-2 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 22 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .209 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 226 batters and walked 77 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.57. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 444 base knocks and 227 earned runs this season. They have given up 89 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 179 hitters and struck out 633 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.09 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Alex Bregman comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .396. He has 63 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 224 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .567 with an OPS+ of 156. Michael Brantley is hitting .329 this season and he has an OBP of .387. He has collected 78 hits in 237 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 145 and a slugging percentage of .532. The Astros as a unit have 589 base hits, including 120 doubles and 103 homers. Houston has walked 238 times this year and they have struck out on 431 occasions. They have had 447 men left on base and have an OPS of .824. They have scored 5.2 runs per game and totaled 333 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +220

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