Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals MLB Picks & Predictions 8/31/2019

Saturday, August 31, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: John Means vs. Jorge Lopez

Hunter Dozier and the Kansas City Royals (47-88, 4th in AL Central) host the Baltimore Orioles (44-89, 5th in AL East) at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday, August 31, 2019. The Orioles open this contest at -102 while the Royals are coming in at -108. The over/under has been set at 10.

The Orioles have been good for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 44-89-0 SU. The Royals cover 34.8% of the time, going 47-88-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a dicey Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 65-58-10.

Baltimore covers 33.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 22-43-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals cover 36.4% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 24-42-0 SU.

The Royals have been a dicey Under pick for over/under bettors, having gone 65-64-6.

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Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

8/25/2019 John Means SP Personal Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/23/2019 Shawn Armstrong RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/28/2019 Danny Duffy SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/22/2019 Jake Newberry RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/20/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/14/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 44-89 overall record this season. Starting pitcher John Means has a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 95 strikeouts over his 117.1 innings pitched and he's given up 107 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.42. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.15 and they have given up 585 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen and they've struck out 508 hitters and walked 242 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.81. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,275 base hits and 759 earned runs. They have allowed 263 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 465 batters and struck out 1,022. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 5.72.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 134 hits this season in 490 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 126. Jonathan Villar is hitting .277 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 143 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 517 at bats. His OPS+ is 112 while his slugging percentage is at .462. The Orioles have 1,114 hits, including 206 doubles and 170 home runs. Baltimore has walked 369 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,197 times as a unit. They have left 864 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 579 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 47-88 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.56, Jorge Lopez has a 2-7 record and a 1.52 WHIP. He has 89 strikeouts over the 93.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 106 hits. He's allowing 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.33. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 495 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 438 batters and walked 214 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,266 base knocks and 674 earned runs this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 482 hitters and struck out 1,034 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.87.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Hunter Dozier comes into this matchup batting .279 with an OBP of .357. He has 117 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 419 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .537 with an OPS+ of 131. Whit Merrifield is hitting .303 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 172 hits in 567 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 115 and a slugging percentage of .473. The Royals as a unit have 1,114 base hits, including 229 doubles and 135 homers. Kansas City has walked 381 times this year and they have struck out on 1,138 occasions. They have had 868 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They have scored 4.24 runs per game and totaled 573 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (-102)

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