Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals MLB Picks & Predictions 9/1/2019

Sunday, September 1, 2019

Kauffman Stadium

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Brooks vs. Danny Duffy

Kauffman Stadium is the site where Whit Merrifield and the Kansas City Royals (47-89, 4th in AL Central) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (45-89, 5th in AL East) on Sunday. The Royals open this matchup at -120 while the Orioles are coming in at +110. The over/under opens at 10.

The Orioles have been solid for oddsmakers, having gone 45-89-0 SU. Kansas City is covering 34.6% of the time, going 47-89-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a dicey Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 66-58-10.

Baltimore is covering 34.8% of the time on the road, having gone 23-43-0 straight up.

Important Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals cover 35.8% of the time at Kauffman Stadium, going 24-43-0 SU.

The Royals have been a dicey Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 66-64-6.

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Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

8/23/2019 Shawn Armstrong RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/28/2019 Danny Duffy SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/24/2019 Cam Gallagher C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/22/2019 Jake Newberry RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/20/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/14/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 45-89 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Brooks has a 4-7 record with an earned run average of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 71 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he's given up 98 hits. He's allowed 9.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.63. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.13 and they have given up 586 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen and they've struck out 510 hitters and walked 243 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.78. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,281 base hits and 761 earned runs. They have allowed 264 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 466 batters and struck out 1,028. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.48 and their FIP as a unit is 5.71.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .247, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .347. He has 145 hits this season in 521 at bats with 62 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .464 and an OPS+ of 114. Trey Mancini is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 74 men in 494 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .520. The Orioles have 1,135 hits, including 210 doubles and 171 home runs. Baltimore has walked 374 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,200 times as a unit. They have left 874 men on base and have a team OPS of .723. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 593 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Kansas City has a 47-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.93, Danny Duffy has a 5-6 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 100.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 105 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.14. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.09 and they have given up 507 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Royals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 440 batters and walked 216 opposing hitters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.17. The Royals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,287 base knocks and 688 earned runs this season. They have given up 184 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Kansas City as a staff has walked 487 hitters and struck out 1,037 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Whit Merrifield comes into this matchup batting .301 with an OBP of .351. He has 172 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 571 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .469 with an OPS+ of 114. Hunter Dozier is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 118 hits in 423 at bats while driving in 73 runs. He has an OPS+ of 131 and a slugging percentage of .537. The Royals as a unit have 1,120 base hits, including 232 doubles and 136 homers. Kansas City has walked 382 times this year and they have struck out on 1,144 occasions. They have had 873 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 575 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Royals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+110)

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