Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks & Predictions 4/27/2019

Saturday, April 27, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dan Straily vs. Jose Berrios

The Baltimore Orioles visit Target Field on Saturday, April 27, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Dan Straily for the Orioles and Jose Berrios for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +255 and Minnesota at -280. The Orioles have a 17-9-0 over/under record and a 11-15-0 run line mark. The Twins are 9-13-0 against the run line and have a 13-9-0 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 17-9-0 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 11-15-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 13-9-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 9-13-0 against the run line

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 C Austin Wynns Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 10-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dan Straily has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 8.59 and a WHIP of 1.84 this season. He has 6 strikeouts over his 14.2 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 12.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 9.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.61 and they have given up 132 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .292 against the bullpen and they've struck out 103 hitters and walked 53 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.5 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.03. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 260 base hits and 154 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 92 batters and struck out 192. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.53 and their FIP as a unit is 6.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .244, good for 17th in the league. The Orioles hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 29 hits this season in 106 at bats with 10 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .425 and an OPS+ of 107. Trey Mancini is hitting .337 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .391. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 104 at bats. His OPS+ is 165 while his slugging percentage is at .606. The Orioles have 218 hits, including 40 doubles and 31 home runs. Baltimore has walked 76 times so far this season and they have struck out 214 times as a unit. They have left 167 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 118 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 13-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.97, Jose Berrios has a 3-1 record and a 0.93 WHIP. He has 33 strikeouts over the 33.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He's allowing 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.90 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 76 batters and walked 42 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 190 base knocks and 102 earned runs this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 79 hitters and struck out 178 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .493 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .366 with an OBP of .424. He has 30 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 82 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .695 with an OPS+ of 192. Eddie Rosario is hitting .276 this season and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 24 hits in 87 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 157 and a slugging percentage of .678. The Twins as a unit have 201 base hits, including 52 doubles and 37 homers. Minnesota has walked 65 times this year and they have struck out on 161 occasions. They have had 133 men left on base and have an OPS of .826. They have scored 5.5 runs per game and totaled 121 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +255

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