Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins MLB Picks & Predictions 4/28/2019

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Kyle Gibson

The Baltimore Orioles visit Target Field on Sunday, April 28, 2019 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Dylan Bundy for the Orioles and Kyle Gibson for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +182 and Minnesota at -195. The Orioles have a 17-10-0 over/under record and a 11-16-0 run line mark. The Twins are 10-13-0 against the run line and have a 13-10-0 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 17-10-0 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 11-16-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 13-10-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 10-13-0 against the run line

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 C Austin Wynns Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 10-17 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 6.56 and a WHIP of 1.50 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 23.1 innings pitched and he's given up 25 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.32. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.46 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .291 against the bullpen and they've struck out 106 hitters and walked 53 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 6.01. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 270 base hits and 159 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 93 batters and struck out 197. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.53 and their FIP as a unit is 6.28.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .244, good for 16th in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .349 with an on-base percentage of .400. He has 38 hits this season in 109 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .615 and an OPS+ of 168. Jonathan Villar is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 110 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .427. The Orioles have 226 hits, including 41 doubles and 31 home runs. Baltimore has walked 79 times so far this season and they have struck out 222 times as a unit. They have left 177 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 119 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 14-9 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.10, Kyle Gibson has a 1-0 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 20.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He's allowing 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 79 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 80 batters and walked 45 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 198 base knocks and 103 earned runs this season. They have given up 28 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 82 hitters and struck out 186 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Twins hold a .503 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per contest. Eddie Rosario comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .320. He has 25 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 91 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .692 with an OPS+ of 158. Jorge Polanco is hitting .349 this season and he has an OBP of .406. He has collected 30 hits in 86 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 178 and a slugging percentage of .663. The Twins as a unit have 211 base hits, including 52 doubles and 42 homers. Minnesota has walked 66 times this year and they have struck out on 166 occasions. They have had 139 men left on base and have an OPS of .834. They have scored 5.52 runs per game and totaled 127 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +182

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