Baltimore Orioles at San Diego Padres MLB Picks & Predictions 7/30/2019
Tuesday, July 30, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Tom Eshelman vs. Dinelson Lamet
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (35-70, 5th in AL East) head to Petco Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (49-56, 4th in NL West). The Padres open this game at -125 while the Orioles are coming in at +115. The over/under is set at 9.5.
The Orioles have been a lousy bet for baseball bettors, having gone 35-70-0 SU. San Diego is covering 46.7% of the time, going 49-56-0 straight up. The Padres have been a hot and cold play for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 25-28-0 SU. The Orioles cover 32.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 33-68-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a hot and cold Under play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 51-46-8.
The Orioles cover 37.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 20-34-0 straight up.
Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends
The Padres cover 45.3% of the time at Petco Park, going 24-29-0 SU.
The Padres have been an inconsistent Over play for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 47-50-8.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/28/2019 John Means SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/28/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Probable for Jul 29
7/27/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key San Diego Padres Injuries
7/25/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/24/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/21/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
7/21/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/20/2019 Jose Castillo RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/4/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/2/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Out for the season
6/28/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 26
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 35-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Tom Eshelman has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.45 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 18.2 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.95 and they have given up 447 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 407 hitters and walked 200 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.53. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 978 base hits and 573 earned runs. They have allowed 200 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 377 batters and struck out 806. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.66.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .244, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .262 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 107 hits this season in 409 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 98. Trey Mancini is hitting .279 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 109 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 390 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .531. The Orioles have 883 hits, including 157 doubles and 134 home runs. Baltimore has walked 281 times so far this season and they have struck out 961 times as a unit. They have left 675 men on base and have a team OPS of .712. They score 4.39 runs per contest and have scored a total of 461 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
San Diego has a 49-56 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.00, Dinelson Lamet has a 0-2 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 389 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 437 batters and walked 127 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 911 base knocks and 468 earned runs this season. They have given up 142 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 284 hitters and struck out 924 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.28.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 26th in the league. The Padres hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .280 with an OBP of .329. He has 115 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 410 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .429 with an OPS+ of 101. Manny Machado is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .344. He has collected 106 hits in 391 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .501. The Padres as a unit have 854 base hits, including 148 doubles and 157 homers. San Diego has walked 316 times this year and they have struck out on 1,014 occasions. They have had 644 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They have scored 4.38 runs per game and totaled 460 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Padres MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +115
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