Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Picks & Predictions 7/1/2019
Monday, July 1, 2019
Tropicana Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Yacabonis vs. Ryne Stanek
Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (24-58, 5th in AL East) travel to Tropicana Field on Monday where they'll meet the Tampa Bay Rays (47-36, 2nd in AL East). The Orioles open this matchup at +145 while the Rays are priced at -155. The over/under opens at 9.5.
The Orioles have been great for oddsmakers, having gone 24-58-0 SU. Tampa Bay covers 56.6% of the time, going 47-36-0 straight up. The Rays have been bad for Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 36-28-0 SU. The Orioles cover 28.2% of the time as the underdog, having gone 22-56-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a pretty good Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 42-35-5.
Baltimore covers 31.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 13-28-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays cover 52.5% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 21-19-0 SU.
The Rays have been a rough Over bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 34-44-5.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/26/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Josh Lucas RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
6/29/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/29/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/28/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/24/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 24-58 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jimmy Yacabonis has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 5.96 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 18 strikeouts over his 25.2 innings pitched and he's given up 28 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.22. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.22 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 323 hitters and walked 158 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.78. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 777 base hits and 465 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 303 batters and struck out 631. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.82.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Baltimore is hitting .242, good for 22nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .254 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 79 hits this season in 311 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .418 and an OPS+ of 99. Trey Mancini is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 91 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 301 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .548. The Orioles have 679 hits, including 130 doubles and 100 home runs. Baltimore has walked 224 times so far this season and they have struck out 732 times as a unit. They have left 535 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 4.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 347 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 47-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.76, Ryne Stanek has a 0-1 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 45.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 34 hits. He's allowing 6.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.47 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 367 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.22. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 621 base knocks and 270 earned runs this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 775 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.52.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 13th in the league. The Rays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Brandon Lowe comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .338. He has 74 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 269 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .520 with an OPS+ of 126. Austin Meadows is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 73 hits in 250 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 135 and a slugging percentage of .520. The Rays as a unit have 728 base hits, including 143 doubles and 104 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 273 times this year and they have struck out on 786 occasions. They have had 598 men left on base and have an OPS of .748. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 377 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +145
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