Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Picks & Predictions 7/2/2019
Tuesday, July 2, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Charlie Morton
Austin Meadows and the Tampa Bay Rays (48-36, 2nd in AL East) play the Baltimore Orioles (24-59, 5th in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, July 2, 2019. The Orioles open this contest at +145 while the Rays are coming in at -155. The O/U has been set at 9.5.
The Orioles have been very good for oddsmakers, having gone 24-59-0 SU. The Rays are covering 57.1% of the time, going 48-36-0 straight up. The Rays have been very good for bettors as favorites, going 37-28-0 SU. Baltimore covers 27.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-57-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a decent Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 42-36-5.
The Orioles are covering 31.7% of the time away from home, having gone 13-28-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays are covering 53.7% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 22-19-0 SU.
The Rays have been a rough Over option for over/under wagerers, having gone 34-44-6.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
6/30/2019 Josh Lucas RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/26/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
6/30/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/30/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/29/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/29/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 24-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 3-10 record with an earned run average of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 90 strikeouts over his 84.1 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.18 and they have given up 359 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 326 hitters and walked 159 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.73. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 787 base hits and 467 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 305 batters and struck out 637. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.80.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .241, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .357. He has 92 hits this season in 305 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .544 and an OPS+ of 138. Jonathan Villar is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 315 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .416. The Orioles have 684 hits, including 131 doubles and 100 home runs. Baltimore has walked 225 times so far this season and they have struck out 746 times as a unit. They have left 540 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 347 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 48-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.43, Charlie Morton has a 8-2 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 120 strikeouts over the 100 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.91. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 372 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.21. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 625 base knocks and 272 earned runs this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 247 hitters and struck out 792 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.14 while their FIP as a staff is 3.51.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 14th in the league. The Rays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Austin Meadows comes into this matchup batting .291 with an OBP of .366. He has 74 hits this year along with 41 RBI in 254 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .516 with an OPS+ of 133. Brandon Lowe is hitting .271 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 74 hits in 273 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .513. The Rays as a unit have 737 base hits, including 147 doubles and 105 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 274 times this year and they have struck out on 799 occasions. They have had 604 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.56 runs per game and totaled 383 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +145
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