Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Picks & Predictions 7/3/2019
Wednesday, July 3, 2019
Tropicana Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: John Means vs. Yonny Chirinos
Brandon Lowe and the Tampa Bay Rays (49-36, 2nd in AL East) host the Baltimore Orioles (24-60, 5th in AL East) at Tropicana Field on Wednesday, July 3, 2019. The Orioles open this contest at +130 while the Rays are priced at -140. The O/U is set at 9.
The Orioles have been a terrible play for MLB bettors, having gone 24-60-0 SU. The Rays cover 57.6% of the time, going 49-36-0 straight up. The Rays have been a great pick for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 38-28-0 SU. The Orioles cover 27.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-58-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 42-36-6.
Baltimore covers 30.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 13-29-0 straight up.
Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Rays cover 54.8% of the time at Tropicana Field, going 23-19-0 SU.
The Rays have been a great Under pick for over/under wagerers, having gone 34-44-7.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/30/2019 Josh Lucas RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/26/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/20/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries
7/2/2019 Leon Jose De Leon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/1/2019 Diego Castillo RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
6/29/2019 Matt Duffy 3B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
6/25/2019 Daniel Robertson 3B Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/25/2019 Tyler Glasnow SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
6/23/2019 Anthony Banda SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/22/2019 Anthony Bemboom C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
4/2/2019 Jose Mujica SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 24-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher John Means has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.10 this season. He has 64 strikeouts over his 75.2 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.23 and they have given up 363 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the bullpen and they've struck out 331 hitters and walked 162 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.74. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 797 base hits and 473 earned runs. They have allowed 166 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 309 batters and struck out 642. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.80.
Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games
Hitting Statistics
As a team Baltimore is hitting .241, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .326. He has 82 hits this season in 320 at bats with 35 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .419 and an OPS+ of 99. Trey Mancini is hitting .302 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 93 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 308 at bats. His OPS+ is 138 while his slugging percentage is at .542. The Orioles have 693 hits, including 134 doubles and 100 home runs. Baltimore has walked 228 times so far this season and they have struck out 757 times as a unit. They have left 548 men on base and have a team OPS of .704. They score 4.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 350 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Tampa Bay has a 49-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.10, Yonny Chirinos has a 7-4 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 76 strikeouts over the 93 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 72 hits. He's allowing 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 382 batters and walked 141 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.2. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 634 base knocks and 275 earned runs this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 250 hitters and struck out 803 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.15 while their FIP as a staff is 3.49.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 15th in the league. The Rays hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Brandon Lowe comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .332. He has 74 hits this year along with 47 RBI in 276 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .507 with an OPS+ of 121. Austin Meadows is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 75 hits in 258 at bats while driving in 41 runs. He has an OPS+ of 132 and a slugging percentage of .512. The Rays as a unit have 747 base hits, including 147 doubles and 106 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 278 times this year and they have struck out on 804 occasions. They have had 610 men left on base and have an OPS of .750. They have scored 4.58 runs per game and totaled 389 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Rays MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +130
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