Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 7/5/2019
Friday, July 5, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Aaron Sanchez
Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (25-61, 5th in AL East) go to Rogers Centre on Friday where they'll meet the Toronto Blue Jays (33-54, 4th in AL East). The Blue Jays open this contest at -130 while the Orioles are priced at +120. The over/under opens at 9.5.
The Orioles have been a lousy pick for bettors, having gone 25-61-0 SU. Toronto is covering 37.9% of the time, going 33-54-0 straight up. The Blue Jays have been a dicey choice for bettors as favorites, going 11-12-0 SU. Baltimore is covering 28.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 23-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been a good Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 44-36-6.
The Orioles are covering 31.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 14-30-0 straight up.
Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays are covering 38.6% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 17-27-0 SU.
The Blue Jays have been a good Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 44-40-3.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
7/2/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/26/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/26/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
7/3/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/3/2019 Teoscar Hernandez LF Shoulder Probable for Jul 4
7/3/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/29/2019 Marcus Stroman SP Pectoral Probable for Jul 4
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/26/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 25-61 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 3-10 record with an earned run average of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 90 strikeouts over his 84.1 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.28. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.28 and they have given up 371 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the bullpen and they've struck out 336 hitters and walked 164 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.75. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 816 base hits and 484 earned runs. They have allowed 168 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 313 batters and struck out 658. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 5.75.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .241, good for 24th in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 95 hits this season in 317 at bats with 40 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 135. Jonathan Villar is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .326. He has totaled 84 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 328 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .421. The Orioles have 710 hits, including 134 doubles and 104 home runs. Baltimore has walked 233 times so far this season and they have struck out 787 times as a unit. They have left 560 men on base and have a team OPS of .705. They score 4.21 runs per contest and have scored a total of 362 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Toronto has a 33-54 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.31, Aaron Sanchez has a 3-11 record and a 1.77 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 87 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 102 hits. He's allowing 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 384 batters and walked 148 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.93. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 796 base knocks and 422 earned runs this season. They have given up 127 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 326 hitters and struck out 718 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.
As a team, they are batting .234, good for 28th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .271 with an OBP of .309. He has 85 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 314 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 105. Randal Grichuk is hitting .233 this season and he has an OBP of .291. He has collected 76 hits in 326 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .417. The Blue Jays as a unit have 683 base hits, including 133 doubles and 123 homers. Toronto has walked 273 times this year and they have struck out on 795 occasions. They have had 530 men left on base and have an OPS of .712. They have scored 4.34 runs per game and totaled 378 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +120
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