Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 9/23/2019

Monday, September 23, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Clay Buchholz

Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (50-105, 5th in AL East) are headed to Rogers Centre on Monday where they'll meet the Toronto Blue Jays (63-92, 4th in AL East). The Orioles open this game at +140 while the Blue Jays are priced at -150. The total opens at 10.

The Orioles have been a dicey option for MLB wagerers, having gone 50-105-0 SU. Toronto covers 40.6% of the time, going 63-92-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 77-67-11.

The Orioles cover 34.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 26-49-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 41.3% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 31-44-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a pretty good Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 71-77-7.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

9/21/2019 Mason Williams CF Knee Probable for Sep 22
9/19/2019 Hunter Harvey RP Rest Out for the season
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/21/2019 Bo Bichette SS Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/18/2019 Tim Mayza RP Elbow Out for the season
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 50-105 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 6-14 record with an earned run average of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 156 strikeouts over his 154.2 innings pitched and he's given up 158 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.91 and they have given up 671 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the bullpen and they've struck out 602 hitters and walked 283 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.69. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,486 base hits and 870 earned runs. They have allowed 294 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 539 batters and struck out 1,191. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.60.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .246, good for 20th in the league. The Orioles hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .286 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 165 hits this season in 577 at bats with 93 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .532 and an OPS+ of 131. Jonathan Villar is hitting .276 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 167 hits and he has driven in 69 men in 606 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .459. The Orioles have 1,314 hits, including 242 doubles and 199 home runs. Baltimore has walked 430 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,369 times as a unit. They have left 1,008 men on base and have a team OPS of .722. They score 4.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 687 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 63-92 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.48, Clay Buchholz has a 1-5 record and a 1.48 WHIP. He has 29 strikeouts over the 50 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 62 hits. He's allowing 11.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 636 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 692 batters and walked 305 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,383 base knocks and 727 earned runs this season. They have given up 213 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 576 hitters and struck out 1,259 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.81.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .233 with an OBP of .281. He has 131 hits this year along with 76 RBI in 563 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .458 with an OPS+ of 93. Justin Smoak is hitting .206 this season and he has an OBP of .343. He has collected 83 hits in 402 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .405. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,243 base hits, including 259 doubles and 232 homers. Toronto has walked 485 times this year and they have struck out on 1,444 occasions. They have had 955 men left on base and have an OPS of .731. They have scored 4.46 runs per game and totaled 691 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles (+140)

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