Boston Red Sox at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Picks & Predictions 4/7/2019

Sunday, April 7, 2019

Chase Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Hector Velazquez vs. Merrill Kelly

The Boston Red Sox visit Chase Field on Sunday, April 7, 2019 to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. The probable starters are Hector Velazquez for the Red Sox and Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks.

The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -140 and Arizona at +130. The Red Sox have a 7-2-0 over/under record and a 1-8-0 run line mark. The Diamondbacks are 5-3-0 against the run line and have a 7-1-0 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 7-2-0 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 1-8-0 against the run line

Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-1-0 against the over/under

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5-3-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

03/28/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

04/05/19 3B Jake Lamb Quad 10-day IL (04/04)
03/28/19 P T.J. McFarland Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 RF Steven Souza Jr. ACL 10-day IL (03/26); is out for season
03/25/19 P Silvino Bracho Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Taijuan Walker Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 2-7 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Hector Velazquez has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 4 strikeouts over his 5.2 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 12.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 32 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 40 hitters and walked 12 batters. As a team, Boston allows 10.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 7.18. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 90 base hits and 59 earned runs. They have allowed 23 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 37 batters and struck out 75. They have walked 4.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.72 and their FIP as a unit is 6.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .249, good for 10th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .351 with an on-base percentage of .415. He has 13 hits this season in 37 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .595 and an OPS+ of 196. Mitch Moreland is hitting .259 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 7 hits and he has driven in 8 men in 27 at bats. His OPS+ is 175 while his slugging percentage is at .593. The Red Sox have 79 hits, including 17 doubles and 10 home runs. Boston has walked 28 times so far this season and they have struck out 70 times as a unit. They have left 64 men on base and have a team OPS of .717. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 41 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Arizona has a 4-4 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Merrill Kelly has a 1-0 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 8.22 and they have given up 44 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .336 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 20 batters and walked 18 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 10.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.4 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 7.25. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 84 base knocks and 58 earned runs this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 39 hitters and struck out 59 batters. They give up a walk 4.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.71 while their FIP as a staff is 6.97.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .302, good for 2nd in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .578 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 11.6 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .389 with an OBP of .405. He has 14 hits this year along with 5 RBI in 36 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .833 with an OPS+ of 215. Christian Walker is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 7 hits in 23 at bats while driving in 6 runs. He has an OPS+ of 190 and a slugging percentage of .783. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 93 base hits, including 26 doubles and 19 homers. Arizona has walked 23 times this year and they have struck out on 71 occasions. They have had 54 men left on base and have an OPS of .925. They have scored 7 runs per game and totaled 56 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -140

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