Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 5/6/2019

Monday, May 6, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Hector Velazquez vs. Andrew Cashner

The Boston Red Sox visit Oriole Park on Monday, May 6, 2019 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Hector Velazquez for the Red Sox and Andrew Cashner for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -185 and Baltimore at +174. The Red Sox have a 19-14-1 over/under record and a 13-21-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 14-20-0 against the run line and have a 19-14-1 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 19-14-1 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 13-21-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 19-14-1 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 14-20-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

05/03/19 SS Tzu-Wei Lin Knee 10-day IL (05/04)
04/20/19 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 10-day IL (04/18)
04/19/19 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day IL (04/18)
04/06/19 P Brian Johnson Elbow 10-day IL (04/06)
04/06/19 2B Brock Holt Eye 10-day IL (04/06)
03/28/19 3B Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 P Steven Wright Suspension 80 game suspension

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 16-18 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Hector Velazquez has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 19 strikeouts over his 19.1 innings pitched and he's given up 18 hits. He's allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 108 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 147 hitters and walked 55 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 280 base hits and 157 earned runs. They have allowed 47 home runs this season, ranking them 7th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 124 batters and struck out 328. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .250, good for 12th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .392. He has 37 hits this season in 128 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .500 and an OPS+ of 137. J.D. Martinez is hitting .336 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .410. He has totaled 41 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 122 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .500. The Red Sox have 286 hits, including 62 doubles and 41 home runs. Boston has walked 133 times so far this season and they have struck out 267 times as a unit. They have left 239 men on base and have a team OPS of .746. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 166 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 12-22 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.71, Andrew Cashner has a 4-1 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 36.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 38 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.11 and they have given up 156 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .279 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 136 batters and walked 67 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.74. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 326 base knocks and 190 earned runs this season. They have given up 75 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 120 hitters and struck out 258 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.50 while their FIP as a staff is 6.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 20th in the league. The Orioles hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .273 with an OBP of .329. He has 38 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 139 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .417 with an OPS+ of 102. Trey Mancini is hitting .336 this season and he has an OBP of .388. He has collected 41 hits in 122 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 158 and a slugging percentage of .574. The Orioles as a unit have 281 base hits, including 51 doubles and 36 homers. Baltimore has walked 92 times this year and they have struck out on 290 occasions. They have had 225 men left on base and have an OPS of .693. They have scored 4.09 runs per game and totaled 139 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -185

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