Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 6/14/2019

Friday, June 14, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Andrew Cashner

Oriole Park is the venue where Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (21-46, 5th in AL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (35-34, 3rd in AL East) on Friday. The Orioles open this matchup at +175 while the Red Sox are priced at -186. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers, having gone 35-34-0 SU. Baltimore covers 31.3% of the time, going 21-46-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers as favorites, going 31-27-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 30.2% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-44-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a rough Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 37-30-2.

Boston covers 52.8% of the time on the road, having gone 19-17-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore covers 27.3% of the time at Oriole Park, going 9-24-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a decent Under pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 31-33-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/12/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/12/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/9/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/8/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

6/11/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
6/11/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/8/2019 Andrew Cashner SP Finger Probable for Jun 13
6/7/2019 Dwight Smith LF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/6/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 25

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 35-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 6-4 record with an earned run average of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 80 strikeouts over his 72 innings pitched and he's given up 78 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 226 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the bullpen and they've struck out 303 hitters and walked 107 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 567 base hits and 302 earned runs. They have allowed 87 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 219 batters and struck out 689. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.96.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .376. He has 68 hits this season in 227 at bats with 34 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .529 and an OPS+ of 136. Mookie Betts is hitting .263 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .383. He has totaled 69 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 262 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .454. The Red Sox have 616 hits, including 133 doubles and 93 home runs. Boston has walked 272 times so far this season and they have struck out 578 times as a unit. They have left 495 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 5.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 359 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 21-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.73, Andrew Cashner has a 6-2 record and a 1.38 WHIP. He has 51 strikeouts over the 70.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.64 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 258 batters and walked 124 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.52. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 611 base knocks and 364 earned runs this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 245 hitters and struck out 518 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.44 while their FIP as a staff is 5.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .302 with an OBP of .356. He has 76 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 252 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .556 with an OPS+ of 142. Jonathan Villar is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .316. He has collected 66 hits in 258 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Orioles as a unit have 545 base hits, including 105 doubles and 83 homers. Baltimore has walked 177 times this year and they have struck out on 599 occasions. They have had 434 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They have scored 4.04 runs per game and totaled 271 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -186

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