Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 6/15/2019

Saturday, June 15, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chris Sale vs. Dylan Bundy

Oriole Park is the venue where Jonathan Villar and the Baltimore Orioles (21-47, 5th in AL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (36-34, 3rd in AL East) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox coming in at -265 and the Orioles are at +242. The over/under is set at 8.

The Red Sox have been inconsistent for oddsmakers, having gone 36-34-0 SU. Baltimore covers 30.9% of the time, going 21-47-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been inconsistent for oddsmakers as favorites, going 32-27-0 SU. Baltimore has gone 19-45-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 29.7% of the time.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been an awful Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 38-30-2.

The Red Sox are covering 52.8% of the time on the road, having gone 19-17-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles are covering 26.5% of the time at Oriole Park, going 9-25-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a good Under pick for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 32-33-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/13/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Probable for Jun 14
6/13/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/12/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/12/2019 Brian Johnson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

6/13/2019 Andrew Cashner SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/13/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/13/2019 Dwight Smith LF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/13/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/11/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 36-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chris Sale has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 3.52 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 120 strikeouts over his 84.1 innings pitched and he's given up 61 hits. He's allowed 6.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 230 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 312 hitters and walked 115 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 576 base hits and 308 earned runs. They have allowed 87 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 228 batters and struck out 700. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .258, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 70 hits this season in 265 at bats with 31 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .453 and an OPS+ of 121. J.D. Martinez is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .374. He has totaled 69 hits and he has driven in 35 men in 231 at bats. His OPS+ is 137 while his slugging percentage is at .537. The Red Sox have 625 hits, including 134 doubles and 98 home runs. Boston has walked 274 times so far this season and they have struck out 586 times as a unit. They have left 500 men on base and have a team OPS of .778. They score 5.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 366 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 21-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Dylan Bundy has a 3-7 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 70 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 62 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.86 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 261 batters and walked 128 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.61. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 628 base knocks and 376 earned runs this season. They have given up 132 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 249 hitters and struck out 522 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.66.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jonathan Villar comes into this matchup batting .251 with an OBP of .310. He has 66 hits this year along with 26 RBI in 263 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .403 with an OPS+ of 91. Trey Mancini is hitting .302 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 77 hits in 255 at bats while driving in 33 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .553. The Orioles as a unit have 555 base hits, including 106 doubles and 84 homers. Baltimore has walked 177 times this year and they have struck out on 609 occasions. They have had 441 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They have scored 4.03 runs per game and totaled 274 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -265

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