Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 6/16/2019

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brian Johnson vs. John Means

J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (37-34, 3rd in AL East) head to Oriole Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Baltimore Orioles (21-48, 5th in AL East). The moneyline on this game has the Red Sox coming in at -158 and the Orioles are at +148. The O/U is set at 10.

The Red Sox have been solid for baseball wagerers, having gone 37-34-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 30.4% of the time, going 21-48-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been solid for baseball wagerers as favorites, going 33-27-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 29.2% of the time as the underdog, having gone 19-46-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been an awful Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 39-30-2.

Boston is covering 54.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 20-17-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

Baltimore is covering 25.7% of the time at Oriole Park, going 9-26-0 SU.

The Orioles have been a less than ideal Over option for over/under bettors, having gone 33-33-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/14/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/13/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/12/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Hector Velazquez RP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/6/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/1/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

6/14/2019 Josh Lucas RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/14/2019 Hanser Alberto 2B Illness Probable for Jun 15
6/13/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/13/2019 Andrew Cashner SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jun 19
6/13/2019 DJ Stewart RF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/13/2019 Dwight Smith LF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
6/11/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 37-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brian Johnson has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 12.71 and a WHIP of 2.29 this season. He has 7 strikeouts over his 5.2 innings pitched and he's given up 10 hits. He's allowed 15.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 9.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen and they've struck out 314 hitters and walked 115 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 585 base hits and 310 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 228 batters and struck out 706. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .260, good for 7th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .384. He has 72 hits this season in 235 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .566 and an OPS+ of 146. Mookie Betts is hitting .264 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 70 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 265 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .453. The Red Sox have 641 hits, including 135 doubles and 104 home runs. Boston has walked 281 times so far this season and they have struck out 592 times as a unit. They have left 510 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 5.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 379 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 21-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.60, John Means has a 6-4 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 65.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 53 hits. He's allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.04 and they have given up 288 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 264 batters and walked 130 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.72. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 644 base knocks and 389 earned runs this season. They have given up 138 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 256 hitters and struck out 528 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.78.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .358. He has 79 hits this year along with 34 RBI in 259 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .564 with an OPS+ of 143. Jonathan Villar is hitting .251 this season and he has an OBP of .309. He has collected 67 hits in 267 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .401. The Orioles as a unit have 564 base hits, including 108 doubles and 85 homers. Baltimore has walked 177 times this year and they have struck out on 615 occasions. They have had 448 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 276 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -158

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