» MLB Picks » Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 7/19/2019

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles MLB Picks & Predictions 7/19/2019

by Tony Sink - 7/18/2019

Friday, July 19, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. John Means

Oriole Park is the venue where Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (29-66, 5th in AL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (52-44, 3rd in AL East) on Friday. The Red Sox open this matchup at -200 while the Orioles are coming in at +185. The over/under is set at 10.

The Red Sox have been a pretty good play for MLB wagerers, having gone 52-44-0 SU. Baltimore covers 30.5% of the time, going 29-66-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been an excellent option for bettors as a favorite, going 45-35-0 SU. Baltimore covers 29.7% of the time as an underdog, having gone 27-64-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a great Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 55-38-3.

The Red Sox cover 60.4% of the time as the away team, having gone 29-19-0 straight up.

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles cover 27.1% of the time at Oriole Park, going 13-35-0 SU.

The Orioles have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 46-43-6.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

7/17/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/17/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
7/17/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/14/2019 Steven Wright RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

7/16/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
7/13/2019 Nate Karns RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
7/13/2019 Dylan Bundy SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 52-44 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Price has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 102 strikeouts over his 88.1 innings pitched and he's given up 78 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.53 and they have given up 347 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 439 hitters and walked 169 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 846 base hits and 450 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 330 batters and struck out 970. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.8 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 99 hits this season in 342 at bats with 49 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .518 and an OPS+ of 125. Rafael Devers is hitting .326 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 121 hits and he has driven in 70 men in 371 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .558. The Red Sox have 936 hits, including 201 doubles and 140 home runs. Boston has walked 372 times so far this season and they have struck out 804 times as a unit. They have left 715 men on base and have a team OPS of .810. They score 5.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 542 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 29-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.94, John Means has a 7-5 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 88.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 75 hits. He's allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.24 and they have given up 405 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 364 batters and walked 177 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.66. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 891 base knocks and 527 earned runs this season. They have given up 183 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 335 hitters and struck out 726 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.69.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Orioles hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .346. He has 98 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 344 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .520 with an OPS+ of 128. Jonathan Villar is hitting .255 this season and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 93 hits in 364 at bats while driving in 39 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .407. The Orioles as a unit have 775 base hits, including 144 doubles and 114 homers. Baltimore has walked 252 times this year and they have struck out on 856 occasions. They have had 606 men left on base and have an OPS of .699. They have scored 4.17 runs per game and totaled 396 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox -200

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less